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Second pet at 46 GC
Topic Started: 24 May 2017, 12:59 PM (430 Views)
L4Y

Posted Image

Posted Image
Edited by L4Y, 24 May 2017, 01:45 PM.
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L4Y

For some reason editing in a second image didnt work.

One gamble after to show gamble count.

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One off b2b pet. Does anyone know the odds of that?
Edited by L4Y, 24 May 2017, 01:49 PM.
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LHC
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2 of 47 hits at 1/1k how to do...
You could use binomial distribution since there are two outcomes.
http://onlinestatbook.com/2/probability/binomial.html
Posted Image
N = 47
Pi = .001
P(2) = (47)! / 2! / (45)! * .001^2 * .999^45

So a 0.1% chance

Actually u got it at 46 so its more like .099%
You could say its slightly rarer than 1 gamble pet :P
Edited by LHC, 24 May 2017, 05:28 PM.
"I want to give players the same opportunities that I had when I started playing ba. A fun, welcoming environment with great people to look up to and learn from."
- iTaste 2016

"If I tried, I bet my dick could touch my asshole"
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veit_isse


Just had my statistics exam, and the fact pi is used in that equation bothers me.
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Grem
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LHC Doing the Math

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Julian
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Gratz!
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L4Y

LHC
24 May 2017, 03:22 PM
2 of 47 hits at 1/1k how to do...
You could use binomial distribution since there are two outcomes.
http://onlinestatbook.com/2/probability/binomial.html
Posted Image
N = 47
Pi = .001
P(2) = (47)! / 2! / (45)! * .001^2 * .999^45

So a 0.1% chance

Actually u got it at 46 so its more like .099%
You could say its slightly rarer than 1 gamble pet :P





I could be wrong but isn't it rarer because it's two apart?
It would make sense being 0.09% if I get them up to 999 apart not two apart? I could be completely wrong because this maths just goes a bit over my head. Thanks heaps for the help.


Ty for gratz Cat!
Edited by L4Y, 25 May 2017, 04:41 AM.
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veit_isse


What he wrote was the chance of getting 2 pet drops by 46 gambles. Your spesific case back to back 2 apart or on 1st and on 46th etc. Have a way lower chance.
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L4Y

veit_isse
25 May 2017, 09:20 AM
What he wrote was the chance of getting 2 pet drops by 46 gambles. Your spesific case back to back 2 apart or on 1st and on 46th etc. Have a way lower chance.
Thankls for clarifying I thought so
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LHC
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Yeah but its meaningless. The chance of getting b2b on 45 and 46 is the same as on 1 and 46, 25 46, etc... they're all .099%

What's impressive is getting two within 50 gambles, their spacing is arbitrary.
"I want to give players the same opportunities that I had when I started playing ba. A fun, welcoming environment with great people to look up to and learn from."
- iTaste 2016

"If I tried, I bet my dick could touch my asshole"
- flunch 2017

Spoiler: click to toggle
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Bakey
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The chance of getting pet is 50%. You either get it or you don't.
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L4Y

LHC
25 May 2017, 03:18 PM
Yeah but its meaningless. The chance of getting b2b on 45 and 46 is the same as on 1 and 46, 25 46, etc... they're all .099%

What's impressive is getting two within 50 gambles, their spacing is arbitrary.
Its two within 3 gambles that's what I was curios of odds.
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