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Courtney Act; Jury Member #3
Topic Started: Mar 8 2018, 06:14 PM (264 Views)
Jeff Probst
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Welcome Courtney,

From the looks of it, you weren't completely surprised. Hope you enjoyed the game!
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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Matthew Van Melikian
Mar 8 2018, 06:51 PM
And from what you've been telling be Jared could have easily beaten me at FTC but that's beside the point.
I think most people vote for you over Jared. At least that's the assumption we both were operating under.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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Courtney Act
Mar 8 2018, 11:27 PM
Matthew Van Melikian
Mar 8 2018, 06:51 PM
And from what you've been telling be Jared could have easily beaten me at FTC but that's beside the point.
I think most people vote for you over Jared. At least that's the assumption we both were operating under.
Chumlee probably would.
Gear probably would.
Paul probably won't.
PG probably won't.
Martin might.
I guess it would depend on if you would, or if you were on FTC or not.

I'm going to run through some hypothetical FTCs later.
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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Depending on how it happened my vote could break either way, but I think most possibilities end with me voting you over Jared
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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In that case it would probably be:
With Paul:
Chumlee, Gear, Martin on me
You on Paul
PG on ???
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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Woops, sent too early

So I probably win there
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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With Gear:
You and Chumlee on me
PG on Jared
Paul would be on either on Gear or Jared. I think Gear and Jared would probably both vote me in the tie, so it would depend on Martin. I think I'd win here too, then.

With you:
Chumlee, Gear and Martin on me
Paul and PG on you
Maybe Martin votes Jared, but then Jared would prpbably vote me in the tie. But he's never winning this one.

With Chumlee:
Gear and you on me
Paul on Jared
Martin and PG on Chumlee
Jared votes me in the tie

With Martin:
Gear and you on me
Paul on Jared
PG on Martin
So if Chumlee voted me I'd win outright, if he voted Martin Jared wouls probably vote me in the tie.

With PG:
Gear and you on me
Paul on Jared
If either Chumlee or Martin vote me I win outright, if they both vote PG Jared probably votes me in the tie.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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I think Jared would have the best odds in the Gear scenario, since Gear and I would be fighting over the Chumlee and Martin votes. Though I agree even then it's unlikely that he'd win.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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I think a Paul/PG FTC would've been better for you than a Jared/Paul FTC. You're overestimating how close Chumlee is/was to PG, I think.
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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The problem with going with PG is that she has Jenn, very likely has Martin, and then at that point it only requires a few votes to be explicitly anti-me/Paul for her to win the game.

Comparatively, if I go with Jared, he and I played similar games and I just have to have been a bit more social, more ostentatiously a strategic leader, and better at FTC. It doesn't open up the possibility of a few bitter jurors just costing me the game the same way because they would also be relatively bitter at Jared.
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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There was never a world where I would have taken an FTC with a gold. At the end of the day, I would have even taken you or Gear over any gold except Jenn, if it came down to it.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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I've kind of taken Jenn out of consideration since she hasn't logged on in forever but fair point. I think you easily get me/Gear/Jared there and very possibly PG in the tie vote if it came down to it, but Jared could steal Gear and my votes, and Chumlee/Martin could also easily vote there.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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IDK, I just don't think all Golds will vote a Gold if they make it to FTC, I know I wouldn't vote a Blue if they made it necessarily but we'll see when the others get here.
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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I don't think they do necessarily, but the added social advantage/time is certainly a benefit.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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Maybe. Supposedly Gold was a bit of a wasteland for the last few days, though.

And I think you might've had a better chance of convincing Gear if you had offered a PG vote there.
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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Eh, maybe. Idk if Gear was ever going to work with me, though, after the way your boot played out.

What I should have done was last-minute switched the vote from you to Chumlee. PG would have had to come along or risk being booted if me/Jared/Paul switched it close enough to deadline.
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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That would result in either a Gear/MartinJURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian vs. Jared/Paul/you TC with PG as the swing vote, probably resulting in an either me or you boot (If Gear wasted his idol like he did), or Gear and I working with Martin and idoling out say Paul (If Gear hadn't used his idol), or Chumlee, Gear, Martin and I just voting out one of you, probably Paul (If Gear had used his idol on Chumlee).
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JURY MEMBER: Matthew Van Melikian
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Apparently it turns "m e" into your forum name. Huh.
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JURY MEMBER: Chumlee
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Hey Court, I wish you had actually tried to keep PMs going with me this game
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JURY MEMBER: Courtney Act
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I did, for the most part. I just knew you had too many connections for me to really work with :/
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JURY MEMBER: Martin Melin
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Courtney Act
Mar 8 2018, 06:32 PM
Me/Paul/Jared, unless Jared was playing me big time and PG was just sending obviously garbage vibes for no reason
It was this, yes.
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