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Question for UB
Tweet Topic Started: Oct 10 2008, 10:15 AM (628 Views)
Unbiased Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM Post #46
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if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
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HoosierLars Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM Post #47
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Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM
if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
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Unbiased Nov 5 2008, 08:40 AM Post #48
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Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM
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if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
good luck with that.


guys like you are afraid to invest because you're constantly saying 'retest'
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HoosierLars Nov 5 2008, 11:09 AM Post #49
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Nov 5 2008, 08:40 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM
Unbiased
Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM
if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
good luck with that.


guys like you are afraid to invest because you're constantly saying 'retest'
I'm rarely (if ever) all in or out of the market. Right now I'm still about 15% in. I will start averaging in more on S&P weakness under 900. At this time I don't believe the other shoe has dropped yet, still many more foreclosures and many people feeling house poor.
Edited by HoosierLars, Nov 5 2008, 11:10 AM.
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Unbiased Nov 5 2008, 11:23 AM Post #50
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HoosierLars
Nov 5 2008, 11:09 AM
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Nov 5 2008, 08:40 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM
Unbiased
Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM
if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
good luck with that.


guys like you are afraid to invest because you're constantly saying 'retest'
I'm rarely (if ever) all in or out of the market. Right now I'm still about 15% in. I will start averaging in more on S&P weakness under 900. At this time I don't believe the other shoe has dropped yet, still many more foreclosures and many people feeling house poor.
mostly factored in.


the govt will print their way out of this.
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HoosierLars Nov 5 2008, 02:30 PM Post #51
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Nov 5 2008, 11:23 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 5 2008, 11:09 AM
Unbiased
Nov 5 2008, 08:40 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM
Unbiased
Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM
if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
good luck with that.


guys like you are afraid to invest because you're constantly saying 'retest'
I'm rarely (if ever) all in or out of the market. Right now I'm still about 15% in. I will start averaging in more on S&P weakness under 900. At this time I don't believe the other shoe has dropped yet, still many more foreclosures and many people feeling house poor.
mostly factored in.


the govt will print their way out of this.
I agree we could see some serious inflation to get out from under the bad mortgage dept, and to pay for Obama's change. Are there some international funds that you like, or any areas of the world you would avoid? I would like to get 50-70% of my money offshore and be less dependent on the US economy and US$.

(For confused readers, Purdue and IU fans can fight tooth and nail about sports, but still help each other make $$)
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Unbiased Nov 5 2008, 02:37 PM Post #52
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Joined:
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HoosierLars
Nov 5 2008, 02:30 PM
Unbiased
Nov 5 2008, 11:23 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 5 2008, 11:09 AM
Unbiased
Nov 5 2008, 08:40 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM
Unbiased
Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM
if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
good luck with that.


guys like you are afraid to invest because you're constantly saying 'retest'
I'm rarely (if ever) all in or out of the market. Right now I'm still about 15% in. I will start averaging in more on S&P weakness under 900. At this time I don't believe the other shoe has dropped yet, still many more foreclosures and many people feeling house poor.
mostly factored in.


the govt will print their way out of this.
I agree we could see some serious inflation to get out from under the bad mortgage dept, and to pay for Obama's change. Are there some international funds that you like, or any areas of the world you would avoid? I would like to get 50-70% of my money offshore and be less dependent on the US economy and US$.

(For confused readers, Purdue and IU fans can fight tooth and nail about sports, but still help each other make $$)
HAINX - Harbor International is an institutional fund that is great.

ETF's - ADRE iif you're bold. I like EWZ - Brazil. Or you could just buy PBR which is like 15% of holdings.

You could go the safer route and buy a bunch of closed ended intl bond funds like GIM, GHI, FAX which have yields as high as 12% and are now trading at 15% discounts to NAV. They will all recover and you'll get fat monthly dividends while waiting.
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HoosierLars Nov 5 2008, 03:17 PM Post #53
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3 in a row
Posts:
22,921
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Member
#20
Joined:
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Unbiased
Nov 5 2008, 02:37 PM
HoosierLars
Nov 5 2008, 02:30 PM
Unbiased
Nov 5 2008, 11:23 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 5 2008, 11:09 AM
Unbiased
Nov 5 2008, 08:40 AM
HoosierLars
Nov 4 2008, 07:55 PM
Unbiased
Nov 4 2008, 03:21 PM
if there is a retest, I would say the best odds would be in Q1 2009 - perhaps February.
I see 2-3 retests, with the last one next fall, or winter 2010.
good luck with that.


guys like you are afraid to invest because you're constantly saying 'retest'
I'm rarely (if ever) all in or out of the market. Right now I'm still about 15% in. I will start averaging in more on S&P weakness under 900. At this time I don't believe the other shoe has dropped yet, still many more foreclosures and many people feeling house poor.
mostly factored in.


the govt will print their way out of this.
I agree we could see some serious inflation to get out from under the bad mortgage dept, and to pay for Obama's change. Are there some international funds that you like, or any areas of the world you would avoid? I would like to get 50-70% of my money offshore and be less dependent on the US economy and US$.

(For confused readers, Purdue and IU fans can fight tooth and nail about sports, but still help each other make $$)
HAINX - Harbor International is an institutional fund that is great.

ETF's - ADRE iif you're bold. I like EWZ - Brazil. Or you could just buy PBR which is like 15% of holdings.

You could go the safer route and buy a bunch of closed ended intl bond funds like GIM, GHI, FAX which have yields as high as 12% and are now trading at 15% discounts to NAV. They will all recover and you'll get fat monthly dividends while waiting.
Ok, thanks. :cheers:
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