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The Official Polls Thread; daily update
Tweet Topic Started: Oct 22 2008, 08:25 AM (1,092 Views)
hoosierinhogville Oct 29 2008, 01:06 PM Post #106
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 12:46 PM
Penn has the polls wrong according to the internals.
That's the thing. You are basing a McCain victory on the assumption that like 15 polls, done by like 7 different organizations are ALL wrong, and your guys poll is the only one right. Yeah I guess you could be right, like the magic 8 ball says - signs point to no.
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hoosierinhogville Oct 29 2008, 01:08 PM Post #107
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 12:53 PM
Hog,

take out the Pew retaated poll it is a 4.89 differnece
That is true. But the Pew poll is still part of the Average, just like last week the +1 poll was a part of the average and was holding it down. The Pew poll will cycle out in the next couple days, and the numbers will get closer, but that still doesn't help you in the electoral college.
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boilergrad01 Oct 29 2008, 01:15 PM Post #108
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I see 286 EC votes for McCain we will be fine.
Nothing beats an Astronaut
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hoosierinhogville Oct 29 2008, 01:19 PM Post #109
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 01:15 PM
I see 286 EC votes for McCain we will be fine.
Man I hate being wrong, but I almost hope i am just cause I am not sure you will be able to to handle it if am right.
There aren't any clock towers around your area of NC or anything are there? ;)
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boilergrad01 Oct 29 2008, 01:23 PM Post #110
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Clocktowers interesting
Nothing beats an Astronaut
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hoosierinhogville Oct 29 2008, 01:23 PM Post #111
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 01:15 PM
I see 286 EC votes for McCain we will be fine.
And speaking of the EC, I assume you don't agree with my assesment of the race right now? Somehow, I think that you do, but you won't be able to admit to yourself until after Nov. 4th if I am right?
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boilergrad01 Oct 29 2008, 01:32 PM Post #112
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Hog,

I will be fine I have met many people along the trail and got to do many things i never believed would be possible. I have been onstage with Sen McCain and allowed to speak. I did an event with Trent Lott. I gave the pledge before an Sarah Palin event. I have met numerous local people in the triangle. I have met former Sec of the Navy and former National Security Advisors. I did an event with Bob Dole. I got a hug from E Dole. Support and belief in winning in Iraq has increased over 25% since I began this process. That was my motivation and Iraq is a safer place than it was in 2006. Oct 2006 over 100 combat deaths Oct 2008 knock on wood knock on wood less than 10 combat deaths. 12 total but I believe 5 where non combat related. The Army lost more Soldiers in the states in accidents than in Iraq so far in October. That is the progress I wanted to see in supporting Sen McCain. Soldiers are accomplishing the mission and are safer. I care about the Soldiers more than the election. I think Sen McCain is partily responsible for that and I like his policies better that is all. I also really expect him.
Nothing beats an Astronaut
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BoilerNLA Oct 29 2008, 01:43 PM Post #113
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I am officially worried about you, BG

I met Bill Clinton in 1992. What does it matter whom you have shaken hands with or hugged?

try "spell check" prior to your posts.
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sirbrianwilson Oct 29 2008, 01:44 PM Post #114
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brumdog44
Oct 27 2008, 05:11 PM
I recieved a call yesterday from a polling organization that had to be Zogby. The give away: I was asked about 100 questions of which about 10 were political and NONE asked who I would be voting for, only a favorability rating of each. There were crap questions about what temperature of water I use when I boil pasta, how many gifts I plan to buy each family member for christmas, and other incredibly stupid things. After 20 minutes, I told them I had to go and asked how much longer it would be. He said "only about 10 more minutes"....at which point he got to hear the dial tone.
that's most definitely zogby.

br
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HoosierLars Oct 29 2008, 01:44 PM Post #115
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 01:32 PM
Hog,

I will be fine I have met many people along the trail and got to do many things i never believed would be possible. I have been onstage with Sen McCain and allowed to speak. I did an event with Trent Lott. I gave the pledge before an Sarah Palin event. I have met numerous local people in the triangle. I have met former Sec of the Navy and former National Security Advisors. I did an event with Bob Dole. I got a hug from E Dole. Support and belief in winning in Iraq has increased over 25% since I began this process. That was my motivation and Iraq is a safer place than it was in 2006. Oct 2006 over 100 combat deaths Oct 2008 knock on wood knock on wood less than 10 combat deaths. 12 total but I believe 5 where non combat related. The Army lost more Soldiers in the states in accidents than in Iraq so far in October. That is the progress I wanted to see in supporting Sen McCain. Soldiers are accomplishing the mission and are safer. I care about the Soldiers more than the election. I think Sen McCain is partily responsible for that and I like his policies better that is all. I also really expect him.
What a great experience bg01, and you can sleep well knowing that you helped support a man who has supported policies that are resulting in a success for the US and Iraq. :cheers:
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HoosierLars Oct 29 2008, 01:45 PM Post #116
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BoilerNLA
Oct 29 2008, 01:43 PM
I am officially worried about you, BG

I met Bill Clinton in 1992. What does it matter whom you have shaken hands with or hugged?

try "spell check" prior to your posts.
I think bg01 has stated that most of his posts are from a hand-held device.
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boilergrad01 Oct 29 2008, 01:51 PM Post #117
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BoilerNLA
Oct 29 2008, 01:43 PM
I am officially worried about you, BG

I met Bill Clinton in 1992. What does it matter whom you have shaken hands with or hugged?

try "spell check" prior to your posts.
NLA,

I was not aware this sight had spell check.

I not only met them but a few I talk to weekly and they have taken me to dinner. I must admit it is nice to go into nice places they order for you and pick up the tab. I am very lucky few volunteers get treated like I have been.
Nothing beats an Astronaut
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Cattman96 Oct 29 2008, 01:55 PM Post #118
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 01:51 PM
BoilerNLA
Oct 29 2008, 01:43 PM
I am officially worried about you, BG

I met Bill Clinton in 1992. What does it matter whom you have shaken hands with or hugged?

try "spell check" prior to your posts.
NLA,

I was not aware this sight had spell check.

I not only met them but a few I talk to weekly and they have taken me to dinner. I must admit it is nice to go into nice places they order for you and pick up the tab. I am very lucky few volunteers get treated like I have been.
You might consider yourself very "Lucky" but from what I have read about you so far, you have worked damn hard and sacrificed quite a bit to be where you are. You have core convictions and you don't back down. They are "Lucky" to have you on their side..
The nine scariest words in the english language. " I'm with the government and I'm here to help" - Ronald Reagan
"When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic." -Benjamin Franklin
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brumdog44 Oct 29 2008, 05:09 PM Post #119
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boilergrad01
Oct 29 2008, 12:53 PM
Hog,

take out the Pew retaated poll it is a 4.89 differnece
Take out the high and the low and it is 5.14.

Not sure what that encourages you.

When Kerry lost a pretty close election in 2004, 3 out of the top ten polling organizations had Kerry on top.

McCain is on top of none and even hand picking the best model has him down 3.

And the worse news is that McCain's trailing status has forced him to a strategy of focusing on a state (PA) where only you think he has a shot to win while allowing Obama into markets that might have been tilted toward McCain before and have now shifted over the other way.
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dreachon Oct 29 2008, 06:20 PM Post #120
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RCP officially moved Georgia to "toss up" status and Nevada to "leaning Obama" status
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