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| The Election Game | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Oct 28 2008, 09:06 PM (505 Views) | |
| brumdog44 | Oct 28 2008, 09:06 PM Post #1 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Okay, here goes. The ballot is below. Feel free to paste it into your reply and fill in either Obama or McCain's name. Only 'swing states' are going to be used. This states are defined thusly: 1. A state that Rasmussen has listed leans republican, leans democrat, or toss up. 2. A state that voted one way in the last election and is listed as likely for the other party on Rasmussen for this election (Iowa and New Mexico are listed as likely democrat; last election that went to Bush. 3. Pennsylvania has been put in as well although it fits neither category. States that are not swing states and their delegates are the following: McCain: Alaska (3), Alabama (9), Arizona (10), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Oklahoma (7), Tennessee (11), Utah (5), Wyoming (3), Arkansas (6), Georgia (15), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Texas (34), West Virginia (5). TOTAL DELEGATES: 163 Obama: California (55), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maryland (12), Massachusetts (12), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), Maine (4), Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (15), Oregon (7), Washington (11), Wisconsin (10). TOTAL DELEGATES: 227 'Swing states: Colorado (9): predicted winner: Florida (27): predicted winner: Indiana (11): predicted winner: Iowa (7): predicted winner: Missouri (11): predicted winner: Nevada (5): predicted winner: New Hampshire (4): predicted winner: New Mexico (5): predicted winner: North Carolina (15): predicted winner: Ohio (20): predicted winner: Pennsylvania (21): predicted winner: Virginia (13): predicted winner: TOTAL DELEGATE COUNT: McCain Obama PREDICTED POPULAR VOTE, TO NEAREST % (as listed at 5 pm, Nov 5th): McCain Obama WILDCARD STATE: in this category you will list a state that you feel a candidate could possibly take from their opponents column of non-swing states; if none are taken, the winning wildcard state will be the one in which percentage wise the candidate came closest to taking. McCain: Obama: NOTE: It is possible that Maine or Nebraska could split their delegates if one candidate wins a district but loses that state...it has never happened and despite the fact that Obama has pushed in one district in Nebraska and McCain has pushed in one district in Maine, most pundits do not see it as a real possibility that those states will split delegates. If you see otherwise, you can amend your totals to reflect that. Edited by brumdog44, Oct 28 2008, 10:52 PM.
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| dreachon | Oct 28 2008, 10:31 PM Post #2 |
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Creative Title Here
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Colorado (9): predicted winner: Obama Florida (27): predicted winner: McCain Indiana (11): predicted winner: McCain Iowa (7): predicted winner: Obama Missouri (11): predicted winner: McCain Nevada (5): predicted winner: Obama New Hampshire (4): predicted winner: Obama New Mexico (5): predicted winner: Obama North Carolina (15): predicted winner: McCain Ohio (20): predicted winner: Obama Pennsylvania (21): predicted winner: Obama Virginia (13): predicted winner: McCain TOTAL DELEGATE COUNT: McCain = 240 Obama = 298 PREDICTED POPULAR VOTE, TO NEAREST % (as listed at 5 pm, Nov 5th): McCain = 43% Obama = 54% (i think other candidates will account for 3%) WILDCARD STATE: in this category you will list a state that you feel a candidate could possibly take from their opponents column of non-swing states; if none are taken, the winning wildcard state will be the one in which percentage wise the candidate came closest to taking. McCain: Minnesota Obama: North Dakota Edited by dreachon, Oct 29 2008, 11:00 AM.
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| brumdog44 | Oct 28 2008, 10:54 PM Post #3 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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dreachon -- By my count, with your picks, the electoral count would be Obama 298, McCain 240. |
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| boilergrad01 | Oct 28 2008, 11:01 PM Post #4 |
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Working on the last 5
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'Swing states: Colorado (9): predicted winner:McCain Florida (27): predicted winner:McCain Indiana (11): predicted winner:McCain Iowa (7): predicted winner:McCain Missouri (11): predicted winner:McCain Nevada (5): predicted winner:McCain New Hampshire (4): predicted winner:McCain New Mexico (5): predicted winner:Obama North Carolina (15): predicted winner:McCain Ohio (20): predicted winner:McCain Pennsylvania (21): predicted winner:McCain Virginia (13): predicted winner:Obama TOTAL DELEGATE COUNT: McCain 293 Obama 245 PREDICTED POPULAR VOTE, TO NEAREST % (as listed at 5 pm, Nov 5th): McCain 49% Obama 48% WILDCARD STATE: in this category you will list a state that you feel a candidate could possibly take from their opponents column of non-swing states; if none are taken, the winning wildcard state will be the one in which percentage wise the candidate came closest to taking. McCain:Minny Obama:Montana Edited by boilergrad01, Nov 1 2008, 11:16 AM.
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| Nothing beats an Astronaut | |
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| boilergrad01 | Oct 28 2008, 11:04 PM Post #5 |
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Working on the last 5
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Note Brum I believe Minny goes to Obama in the end and Montana stays red so that is how I got my count. I do believe McCain wins Ohio, Florida and NC by less than 2.5% combined. Those will be very close races. I think Colorado will also be very close. |
| Nothing beats an Astronaut | |
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| BTown11 | Oct 28 2008, 11:04 PM Post #6 |
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Mer
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'Swing states: Colorado (9): predicted winner: Obama Florida (27): predicted winner: Obama Indiana (11): predicted winner: McCain Iowa (7): predicted winner: Obama Missouri (11): predicted winner: McCain Nevada (5): predicted winner: Obama New Hampshire (4): predicted winner: Obama New Mexico (5): predicted winner: McCain North Carolina (15): predicted winner: McCain Ohio (20): predicted winner: Obama Pennsylvania (21): predicted winner: Obama Virginia (13): predicted winner: Obama TOTAL DELEGATE COUNT: McCain: 205 Obama: 333 PREDICTED POPULAR VOTE, TO NEAREST % (as listed at 5 pm, Nov 5th): McCain: 41% Obama: 55% WILDCARD STATE: in this category you will list a state that you feel a candidate could possibly take from their opponents column of non-swing states; if none are taken, the winning wildcard state will be the one in which percentage wise the candidate came closest to taking. McCain: Maine Obama: Georgia |
| Death to Signatures. | |
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| BTown11 | Oct 28 2008, 11:05 PM Post #7 |
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Mer
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ps.. that's not really how i think the race will turn out.. you just have to go out on a limb to win games sometimes. |
| Death to Signatures. | |
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| boilergrad01 | Oct 28 2008, 11:06 PM Post #8 |
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Working on the last 5
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Btown Maine do you think the Repubs hold the senate seat. You counting on a racist vote in Maine. Penn McCain has been working it hard maine one congressional district but not the state why Maine. |
| Nothing beats an Astronaut | |
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| BTown11 | Oct 28 2008, 11:06 PM Post #9 |
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Mer
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you are one loyal mother fucker bg, gotta respect that. |
| Death to Signatures. | |
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| BTown11 | Oct 28 2008, 11:07 PM Post #10 |
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Mer
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^^ see out on a limb prediction comment ^^ |
| Death to Signatures. | |
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| boilergrad01 | Oct 28 2008, 11:07 PM Post #11 |
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Working on the last 5
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Internal polling says we are good. Now if the polling guy is like other people on the team I could be fucked. |
| Nothing beats an Astronaut | |
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| brumdog44 | Oct 28 2008, 11:08 PM Post #12 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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'Swing states: Colorado (9): predicted winner: Obama Florida (27): predicted winner: Obama Indiana (11): predicted winner: McCain Iowa (7): predicted winner: Obama Missouri (11): predicted winner: McCain Nevada (5): predicted winner: Obama New Hampshire (4): predicted winner:Obama New Mexico (5): predicted winner: Obama North Carolina (15): predicted winner: McCain Ohio (20): predicted winner: Obama Pennsylvania (21): predicted winner: Obama Virginia (13): predicted winner: Obama TOTAL DELEGATE COUNT: McCain 200 Obama 338 PREDICTED POPULAR VOTE, TO NEAREST % (as listed at 5 pm, Nov 5th): McCain 46 Obama 51 WILDCARD STATE: in this category you will list a state that you feel a candidate could possibly take from their opponents column of non-swing states; if none are taken, the winning wildcard state will be the one in which percentage wise the candidate came closest to taking. McCain: Maine (with an outside chance of winning one electoral vote there) Obama: Georgia Edited by brumdog44, Oct 30 2008, 04:04 PM.
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| BTown11 | Oct 28 2008, 11:09 PM Post #13 |
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Mer
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CNN says Obama is pulling away in Ohio, but Ohio is a state you really have to be concerned about the Bradley Effect in. |
| Death to Signatures. | |
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| brumdog44 | Oct 28 2008, 11:14 PM Post #14 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Which is why I'll probably wait until the last minute before I finalize my pick for Ohio...Rassy has Obama up 4 and I want to see if that lead is maintained in the polls before the election. |
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| boilergrad01 | Oct 28 2008, 11:27 PM Post #15 |
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Working on the last 5
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btown, I want McCain to win so bad it is affecting everything in my life. I have lost two GF's because they think I am off the reservation doing all the volunteer work. One can only take why do you do this for no pay. Did they pay for your gas shit for so long before you let them have it. Then they go away. It was for the best because they never understood me they just liked bragging about me being a veteran. They believed I am a badass. I do not even consider myself a tough guy. I just did what was asked of me. That said I would be very hurt if McCain won on race. One of my favorite Soldiers in Iraq was Black. Him and I are very close. I would hate to think one day someone judged him on his skin color. I made a bad decision one day and he was there to save my ass. 16 months you will make a bad call. He put his life on the line to bail my ass out. Like I said before our head medic was black him and I are like brothers. I do not see Obama as a black canidate I see him as bad for America. |
| Nothing beats an Astronaut | |
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