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| First AWar stat calculations | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Jan 2 2013, 12:47 AM (868 Views) | |
| tkeena33 | Feb 24 2013, 09:58 AM Post #76 |
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Assistant Coach
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Should probably stop calling it AWAR and go with BDR (BrumDog Ratings) or something of the sort. Could put a link at the top of the site and you could keep it updated weekly throughout each season and more frequently towards the end. Could even get real fancy and find some way to post it along with the KenPom, Sagarin, AP, etc. polls for comparison. |
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| brumdog44 | Feb 24 2013, 08:46 PM Post #77 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Indiana and Purdue AWAR results through Sunday's games.. Indiana: 1. Oladipo +6.21 2. Zeller +6.09 3. Hulls +2.53 4. Watford +2.44 5. Sheehey +1.69 6. Ferrell +1.27 7. Abell +0.49 8. Hollowell -0.31 9. Perea -0.36 10.Elston -0.51 11.Creek -0.72 Purdue: 1. Hammons +2.32 2. Carroll +0.50 3. T.Johnson +0.47 4. Davis +0.39 5. Byrd +0.34 6. Lawson +0.29 7. Marcius +0.15 8. Antrop -0.04 9. R.Johnson -0.12 10.Hale -0.57 11.A.Johnson -0.96 |
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| brumdog44 | Feb 25 2013, 11:07 PM Post #78 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Most comprehensive team ranking calculations I have -- advanced AWAR, which factors in defense much better -- and the top 49 teams through Sunday's game. It's really more of a power rating than a ranking of a team's accomplishments...i.e., right now Illinois looks to be in much better shape to make the tourney than Minnesota, but based on the overall statistics they have put up for the whole year, the advanced AWAR has Minnesota as being better....it's just that the bulk of their statistics were built up early. 1. Florida +26.46 2. Indiana +25.83 3. Gonzaga +24.44 4. Michigan +23.29 5. Pittsburgh +23.21 6. Louisville +22.49 7. Kansas +22.24 8. Wisconsin +22.22 9. Creighton +22.01 10.Duke +21.78 11.Syracuse +21.64 12.Michigan State +21.45 13.Kentucky +21.21 14.Minnesota +20.99 15.Georgetown +20.61 16.Colorado State +20.52 17.Notre Dame +20.42 18.Ohio State +20.15 19.UNLV +20.09 20.Marquette +19.79 21.Virginia +19.65 22.Miami +19.58 23.Arizona +19.48 24.Southern Mississippi +19.44 25.Kansas State +19.25 26.UCLA +19.17 27.North Carolina State +19.16 28.San Diego State +18.99 29.St.Mary's +18.95 30.Missouri +18.88 31.Belmont +18.75 32.Baylor +18.69 33.Akron +18.62 34.New Mexico +18.47 Memphis +18.47 36.Stephen Austin +18.32 37.Wichita State +18.21 38.Maryland +18.15 39.Middle Tennesse St +18.09 40.Connecticut +18.03 41.Oklahoma State +17.92 42.VCU +17.81 43.Denver +17.68 44.North Carolina +17.56 45.Butler +17.40 46.Bucknell +17.32 47.California +17.27 48.Cincinnati +17.25 49.St.Louis +16.90 |
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| brumdog44 | Mar 3 2013, 02:04 PM Post #79 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Indiana player AWAR through Iowa. 1. Oladipo +6.2 2. Zeller +5.9 3. Hulls +2.3 4. Watford +2.2 5. Sheehey +1.9 6. Ferrell +1.6 7. Abell +0.5 8. Hollowell -0.3 9. Elston -0.5 10.Creek -0.7 Next opponent, Ohio State: 1. Thomas +3.4 2. Scott +2.7 3. Craft +2.4 4. Smith +1.6 5. Williams +0.6 6. Ravenel +0.6 7. Thompson +0.5 8. Ross +0.4 9. Della Valle +0.3 |
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| dreachon | Mar 3 2013, 02:26 PM Post #80 |
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Creative Title Here
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Zeller's AWAR went down after Iowa? |
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| brumdog44 | Mar 3 2013, 04:32 PM Post #81 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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No, it went down after the combination of Minnesota and Iowa. |
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| brumdog44 | Mar 4 2013, 08:47 PM Post #82 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Current Big Ten individual player ratings and all-conference teams. First team: Burke, Mich +8.8 Oladipo, Ind +6.1 Zeller, Ind +6.0 (went up a little due to slight SOS adjustment by KenPom) Mbakwe, Minn +4.4 Payne, Michigan State +3.8 Second team: White, Iowa +3.6 Bergeren, Wisconsin +3.4 Thomas, Ohio State +3.3 Andre Hollins, Minnesota +3.2 Dekker, Wisconsin +2.8 Third team: Scott, Ohio State +2.7 Appling, Michigan State +2.7 Williams, Minnesota +2.7 Dawson, Michigan State +2.6 Nix, Michigan State +2.6 Honorable mention Paul, Illinois +2.6 Robinson, Michigan +2.5 Craft, Ohio State +2.4 Watford, Indiana +2.3 Hulls, Indiana +2.3 Austin Hollins, Minnesota +2.3 Harris, Michigan State +2.2 Hammons, Purdue +2.2 Brust, Wisconsin +2.1 Hardaway, Michigan +2.0 |
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| dreachon | Mar 4 2013, 09:52 PM Post #83 |
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Creative Title Here
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I think Watford will probably make one of the teams when all is said and done. |
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| Maker13 | Mar 4 2013, 10:22 PM Post #84 |
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Coach
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Brum, I appreciate you going deep enough in the HMs to get a Boilermaker in there. |
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| brumdog44 | Mar 4 2013, 11:40 PM Post #85 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Thanks...but if AJ has many more games like he did against Wisky, I won't be able to go that deep. |
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| dçamden03 | Mar 5 2013, 12:30 AM Post #86 |
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Coach
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His great point/rebound games are gonna dominate headlines, but at some point games like NW both times and UW are gonna make people realize how much work he has to go. He's not like Zeller where his mere presence just makes everything better for his team. |
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“He’s always been a guy — maybe to a fault — he would always try to do what I said. That seems like something simple in coaching, but those are the guys I hang my hat on. We’ve had some guys in our program, we had a couple guys that felt I had a bias towards E’Twaun Moore. And they were right — I do have a bias towards E’Twaun Moore. I like guys that go to class, that are academic All-Americans, that come early, that stay late, that love the game of basketball. I am biased towards those guys. And I’m biased towards Rob Hummel. But I’m also biased towards their habits, their work ethic, and how they carry themselves." "I’d take him to the ends of the earth — I’d want him playing for me.” - Bo Ryan on Robbie Hummel
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| brumdog44 | Mar 6 2013, 11:58 PM Post #87 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Indiana AWAR through Ohio State 1. Oladipo +5.93 2. Zeller +5.91 3. Hulls +2.2 4. Watford +2.1 5. Sheehey +1.7 6. Ferrell +1.4 7. Abell +0.4 8. Hollowell -0.3 9. Elston -0.6 10.Creek -0.7 |
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| brumdog44 | Mar 7 2013, 07:03 PM Post #88 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Purdue AWAR through Michigan 1. Hammons +2.0 2. T.Johnson +0.9 3. Byrd +0.6 4. Marcius +0.5 5. Carroll +0.4 6. Davis +0.4 7. Lawson +0.4 8. R.Johnson 0.0 9. Anthrop -0.2 10.Hale -0.5 11.A.Johnson -1.0 |
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| brumdog44 | Mar 7 2013, 07:10 PM Post #89 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Indiana v. Michigan AWAR matchup (note a couple of Indiana players had a slight bump with SOS adjustments by KenPom today) Zeller +6.0 v. Morgan +1.2 Watford +2.2 v. Robinson +2.3 Oladipo +6.0 v. Hardaway +1.7 Hulls +2.2 v. Stauskas +1.3 Ferrell +1.4 v. Burke +9.1 Bench Indiana: Sheehey +1.7, Abell +0.5, Hollowell -0.3, Elston -0.5, Creek -0.7 Michigan: McGary +1.9, LeVert -0.6, Albrecht +0.1, Horford +0.6 |
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