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AWAR tourney projections
Tweet Topic Started: Mar 9 2013, 01:10 PM (13 Views)
brumdog44 Mar 9 2013, 01:10 PM Post #1
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First, the advanced AWAR top 25 coming into the weekend:

1. Florida +23.2
2. Indiana +22.6
3. Gonzaga +21.4
4. Kansas +20.7
5. Louisville +20.7
6. Pittsburgh +20.7
7. Michigan +20.0
8. Creighton +19.9
9. Syracuse +19.1
10. Duke +19.0
11. Michigan St. +19.0
12. Notre Dame +18.7
13. Minnesota +18.6
14. Georgetown +18.0
15. Ohio St +17.9
16. Colorado St +17.8
17. Virginia +17.7
18. UNLV +17.7
19. Belmont +17.6
20. Wisconsin +17.6
21. Memphis +17.5
22. Marquette +17.5
23. North Carolina +17.0
24. Southern Miss +16.9
25. Kansas St. +16.8

Tournament projections:

By AWAR power ratings, the number of teams from each conference with multiple teams getting in. Note that it does not take into account how the teams have played down the stretch or players injured; rather, it just relies on a power rating for the whole season.

ACC (6): Duke +19.0, Virginia +17.7, North Carolina +17.0, NC State +16.8, Miami +16.6, Maryland +14.9
Atlantic 10 (3): VCU +15.7, Butler +14.8, St.Louis +14.6
Big 10 (7): Indiana +22.6, Michigan +20.0, Michigan St +19.0, Minnesota +18.6, Ohio St +17.9, Wisconsin +17.6, Iowa +16
Big 12 (5): Kansas +20.7, Kanas St. +16.8, Iowa St +15.5, Oklahoma St +15.3, Oklahoma +14.3
Big East (7): Louisville +20.7, Pittsburgh +20.7, Syracuse +19.1, Notre Dame +18.7, Georgetown +18.0, Marquette +17.5, Cincinnati +14.5
Conference USA (2): Memphis +17.5, Southern Miss +16.9
MAC (2): Akron +14.4, Ohio +14.4
MVC (2): Creighton +19.9, Wichita St +15.9
MWC (4): Colorado St +17.8, UNLV +17.7, New Mexico +16.7, San Diego St +16.1
Pac 12 (3): Arizona +16.5, California +15.1, Colorado +14
SEC (3): Florida +23.2, Missouri +16.6, Kentucky +16.5
WCC (2): Gonzaga +21.6, St.Mary's +16.8.

Last four in:
Cincinnati
Ohio
Oklahoma
Colorado

Last four out:
BYU
Oregon
UCLA
Villanova
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