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Updated Political Poll
Tweet Topic Started: May 22 2016, 08:44 PM (3,339 Views)
HoosierLars Jul 18 2016, 10:09 PM Post #46
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brumdog44
Jul 18 2016, 12:53 PM
HoosierLars
Jul 18 2016, 09:12 AM
brumdog44
Jul 17 2016, 08:10 PM
Biggest question: will Scott Baio's speech at the RNC put Trump over the top?

Or will it cause an even bigger division in the GOP -- those who insist he's Chachi or those that insist he's Charles in Charge, and those who insist they have no fucking idea who Scott Baio is?

Of course, most people will be most tuned in to the 484th ranked women's golfer speech.
Translation: The recent polling makes you a little uneasy. And speaking of Chachi, sadly, the Democrat Party jumped its Shark in '08.
Which recent poll are you talking about? The last three national polls have Clinton up by 7, 4, and 5. The last three four-candidate polls that include Johnson and Green have Clinton up 5, 4, and 5.

What was expected to happen did happen.....e-mail ruling came out, Trump gains temporary ground, and a week later we're back to normal.

It's funny how the supposed 'jumping the shark party' is about to win their third straight presidential election.

Your party is the party of Palin and Trump. If the democratic party is the last years of Happy Days, the republican party is AfterMash.
The R's have their largest majorities in Congress and State legislatures since the Great Depression, but thanks for playing.

The polling group you guys prefer have it at 3.4% for Hill.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
The trend is not your friend.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
The Rasmussen and Quinnipiac polls look more accurate, IMO.
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brumdog44 Jul 18 2016, 11:48 PM Post #47
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HoosierLars
Jul 18 2016, 10:09 PM
brumdog44
Jul 18 2016, 12:53 PM
HoosierLars
Jul 18 2016, 09:12 AM
brumdog44
Jul 17 2016, 08:10 PM
Biggest question: will Scott Baio's speech at the RNC put Trump over the top?

Or will it cause an even bigger division in the GOP -- those who insist he's Chachi or those that insist he's Charles in Charge, and those who insist they have no fucking idea who Scott Baio is?

Of course, most people will be most tuned in to the 484th ranked women's golfer speech.
Translation: The recent polling makes you a little uneasy. And speaking of Chachi, sadly, the Democrat Party jumped its Shark in '08.
Which recent poll are you talking about? The last three national polls have Clinton up by 7, 4, and 5. The last three four-candidate polls that include Johnson and Green have Clinton up 5, 4, and 5.

What was expected to happen did happen.....e-mail ruling came out, Trump gains temporary ground, and a week later we're back to normal.

It's funny how the supposed 'jumping the shark party' is about to win their third straight presidential election.

Your party is the party of Palin and Trump. If the democratic party is the last years of Happy Days, the republican party is AfterMash.
The R's have their largest majorities in Congress and State legislatures since the Great Depression, but thanks for playing.

The polling group you guys prefer have it at 3.4% for Hill.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
The trend is not your friend.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
The Rasmussen and Quinnipiac polls look more accurate, IMO.
LOL at you still citing Rasmussen.

And you seriously pumping your chest out for Trump being 3.4% down? Really?

In the 2012 election, Obama won the popular wote by 3.9%. Delegate count wasn't close....332 to 206. But hey, let's give Romney an extra half percent to match the 3.4% number. If he had gotten an extra half percent in each state, know how many states would have turned his way?

Zero.

3.4% isn't a close election. It's somewhere between Obama-Romney and Bush-Kerry, and 538 predicts it being a 308-230 verdict.
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dreachon Jul 22 2016, 02:16 PM Post #48
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This shit is real

[utube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJ97gEFBH5k[/utube]

Edited by dreachon, Jul 22 2016, 02:16 PM.
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brumdog44 Jul 22 2016, 03:24 PM Post #49
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0:40 to 0:42 of the video.....looks like he went to the Christopher Walken school of acting.
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mongo Jul 22 2016, 06:23 PM Post #50
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I know he's a creepy human being but there's something really creepy about the way he looks too.
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"Son, if you really want something in this life you have to work hard for it. Now quiet! They're about to announce the lottery numbers."
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brumdog44 Jul 23 2016, 04:07 PM Post #51
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http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/koch-brothers-pull-ad-buy-backing-ron-johnson-b99765361z1-387673851.html

Interesting story for a couple of reasons.

1. Earlier, the Koch brothers had purhased $2 million in ad time attacking Johnson's Wisconsin senate opponent. Unfortunately for them, the ad ending up backfiring.
2. Nevertheless, the Koch had planned over $2 million more for ads for Johnson from now through October.
3. Johnson had been saying that he would not attend the RNC convention in Cleveland. He reversed course and ending up speaking at the convention and supporting Trump.
4. The Koch brothers are definitely not fans of Trump.
5. The pulling of the ads could end chances for Johnson to be re-elected. The numbers have been trending against him and he currently sits about 4 points down.
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HoosierLars Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM Post #52
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Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
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brumdog44 Jul 31 2016, 11:54 AM Post #53
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HoosierLars
Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM
Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Must not have lasted long -- was 51/49 Clinton when I just clicked on it. Obviously indicators currently are a horse race.
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HoosierLars Jul 31 2016, 12:05 PM Post #54
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dreachon Jul 31 2016, 12:26 PM Post #55
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brumdog44
Jul 31 2016, 11:54 AM
HoosierLars
Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM
Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Must not have lasted long -- was 51/49 Clinton when I just clicked on it. Obviously indicators currently are a horse race.
Changes drastically when you select the "polls plus forecast" option.
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brumdog44 Aug 1 2016, 06:37 PM Post #56
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dreachon
Jul 31 2016, 12:26 PM
brumdog44
Jul 31 2016, 11:54 AM
HoosierLars
Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM
Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Must not have lasted long -- was 51/49 Clinton when I just clicked on it. Obviously indicators currently are a horse race.
Changes drastically when you select the "polls plus forecast" option.
Both conventions now complete, and two days after Lars posts about Trump taking his first lead at fivethirtyeight, Clinton now with a 63% chance to win -- 68% when you go to polls plus.

BTW, why in the world did Donald choose to lie about the NFL sending him a letter calling the debates that occur opposite an NFL game 'ridiculous'? The league quickly shot that down, said no such thing was done.
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dreachon Aug 1 2016, 06:46 PM Post #57
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brumdog44
Aug 1 2016, 06:37 PM
dreachon
Jul 31 2016, 12:26 PM
brumdog44
Jul 31 2016, 11:54 AM
HoosierLars
Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM
Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Must not have lasted long -- was 51/49 Clinton when I just clicked on it. Obviously indicators currently are a horse race.
Changes drastically when you select the "polls plus forecast" option.
Both conventions now complete, and two days after Lars posts about Trump taking his first lead at fivethirtyeight, Clinton now with a 63% chance to win -- 68% when you go to polls plus.

BTW, why in the world did Donald choose to lie about the NFL sending him a letter calling the debates that occur opposite an NFL game 'ridiculous'? The league quickly shot that down, said no such thing was done.
Clinton appears to have gotten a big bounce from the dnc.
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sirbrianwilson Aug 1 2016, 06:48 PM Post #58
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dreachon
Aug 1 2016, 06:46 PM
brumdog44
Aug 1 2016, 06:37 PM
dreachon
Jul 31 2016, 12:26 PM
brumdog44
Jul 31 2016, 11:54 AM
HoosierLars
Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM
Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Must not have lasted long -- was 51/49 Clinton when I just clicked on it. Obviously indicators currently are a horse race.
Changes drastically when you select the "polls plus forecast" option.
Both conventions now complete, and two days after Lars posts about Trump taking his first lead at fivethirtyeight, Clinton now with a 63% chance to win -- 68% when you go to polls plus.

BTW, why in the world did Donald choose to lie about the NFL sending him a letter calling the debates that occur opposite an NFL game 'ridiculous'? The league quickly shot that down, said no such thing was done.
Clinton appears to have gotten a big bounce from the dnc.
It was a much better executed convention for sure. Not to mention the line-up of speakers was ridiculously more superior than the RNC...

br
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dreachon Aug 1 2016, 07:00 PM Post #59
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sirbrianwilson
Aug 1 2016, 06:48 PM
dreachon
Aug 1 2016, 06:46 PM
brumdog44
Aug 1 2016, 06:37 PM
dreachon
Jul 31 2016, 12:26 PM
brumdog44
Jul 31 2016, 11:54 AM
HoosierLars
Jul 30 2016, 11:19 PM
Trump's first lead on 538.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Must not have lasted long -- was 51/49 Clinton when I just clicked on it. Obviously indicators currently are a horse race.
Changes drastically when you select the "polls plus forecast" option.
Both conventions now complete, and two days after Lars posts about Trump taking his first lead at fivethirtyeight, Clinton now with a 63% chance to win -- 68% when you go to polls plus.

BTW, why in the world did Donald choose to lie about the NFL sending him a letter calling the debates that occur opposite an NFL game 'ridiculous'? The league quickly shot that down, said no such thing was done.
Clinton appears to have gotten a big bounce from the dnc.
It was a much better executed convention for sure. Not to mention the line-up of speakers was ridiculously more superior than the RNC...

br
Two polls from Georgia just came out and Trump was +4 in one and even in the other. RCP moved Georgia to "toss up". Trump needs to be turning states like Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. He can't afford to be losing solid red states like Georgia.
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sirbrianwilson Aug 1 2016, 11:09 PM Post #60
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Never in my life would I have thought Georgia would ever be in play for a presidential election. Even more evidence of how fucked up the Republican Party has become.
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