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Updated Political Poll
Tweet Topic Started: May 22 2016, 08:44 PM (3,335 Views)
boilergrad01 Aug 18 2016, 07:31 PM Post #106
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I am not saying my source is correct but he predicts nationally Trump will overtake Hillary next week with a slim 1% lead in two polls.
Nothing beats an Astronaut
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HoosierLars Aug 18 2016, 10:28 PM Post #107
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boilergrad01
Aug 18 2016, 07:31 PM
I am not saying my source is correct but he predicts nationally Trump will overtake Hillary next week with a slim 1% lead in two polls.
Wow, that would be a shocker! Trump's foreign policy speech was pretty decent, IMO. It's a good strategy to say immigrants should be vetted to make sure they aren't anti-LGBTY and anti-woman. It makes the Democrats look pretty silly when they argue against that, but they still do.
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sirbrianwilson Aug 18 2016, 11:09 PM Post #108
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Which two polls? And why only two polls?
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Mr Gray Aug 19 2016, 08:40 AM Post #109
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Libertarians are blowing their chance to create real buzz.....not that they had any chance of winning, but growing the message would have been good.
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The body knows what fighters don't: how to protect itself. A neck can only twist so far. Twist it just a hair more and the body says, "Hey, I'll take it from here because you obviously don't know what you're doing... Lie down now, rest, and we'll talk about this when you regain your senses." It's called the knockout mechanism.
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dreachon Aug 19 2016, 04:22 PM Post #110
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sirbrianwilson
Aug 18 2016, 11:09 PM
Which two polls? And why only two polls?
I'll guess Rasmussen and LA Times
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brumdog44 Aug 19 2016, 06:08 PM Post #111
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dreachon
Aug 19 2016, 04:22 PM
sirbrianwilson
Aug 18 2016, 11:09 PM
Which two polls? And why only two polls?
I'll guess Rasmussen and LA Times
I get the humor on that one. The LA Times poll is the only poll on RCP without a margin of error listed, which means it isn't a scientific poll. I've already detailed the immense problems of Rasmussen. Anyway, it's not the LA Times -- they released a poll ran through yesterday with Trump behind.

Anyway, the source IMO is most likely believing a horseshit rumor or is pulling something out of his ass. There is zero reason for a polling service to hold back results until 'next week' and every reason to release data that shows a potential trend reverse.

My guess is that it only poll Trump leads in is one from his family.

Edit: I just reread what bg posted....his source doesn't say that Trump will take a 1% lead....he 'predicts' it. Seems kind of strange to 'predict' a poll.
Edited by brumdog44, Aug 19 2016, 09:50 PM.
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brumdog44 Aug 19 2016, 06:08 PM Post #112
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Mr Gray
Aug 19 2016, 08:40 AM
Libertarians are blowing their chance to create real buzz.....not that they had any chance of winning, but growing the message would have been good.
That would have started with picking someone besides Gary Johnson.
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sirbrianwilson Aug 19 2016, 07:52 PM Post #113
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http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
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brumdog44 Aug 19 2016, 09:45 PM Post #114
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Q: How many different campaign managers does it take to run a failing campaign?

A: 1 2 3
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brumdog44 Aug 19 2016, 11:16 PM Post #115
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[utube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn2CA-2L9Jo[/utube]
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HoosierLars Aug 20 2016, 11:17 AM Post #116
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Mr Gray
Aug 19 2016, 08:40 AM
Libertarians are blowing their chance to create real buzz.....not that they had any chance of winning, but growing the message would have been good.
It would be great if the Green Party could get more traction. That might help blowup the Democrat Party.
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dreachon Aug 20 2016, 08:49 PM Post #117
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[utube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn2CA-2L9Jo[/utube]
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brumdog44 Aug 21 2016, 12:37 PM Post #118
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Looks like one of the polls was the LA Times, LOL. They have Trump up 2 points. Again, they don't even do a scientific poll....and they don't ask who people are voting for. They ask 'what percentage chance is there that you will vote for each candidate' and then assign a percentage of that person's vote to the candidates.
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sirbrianwilson Aug 21 2016, 01:27 PM Post #119
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brumdog44
Aug 21 2016, 12:37 PM
Looks like one of the polls was the LA Times, LOL. They have Trump up 2 points. Again, they don't even do a scientific poll....and they don't ask who people are voting for. They ask 'what percentage chance is there that you will vote for each candidate' and then assign a percentage of that person's vote to the candidates.
:facepalm:
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boilergrad01 Aug 21 2016, 09:17 PM Post #120
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Trump does seem to be tightening in National polls. But not state polls
Nothing beats an Astronaut
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