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| Senate races | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Jul 31 2016, 11:25 PM (47 Views) | |
| brumdog44 | Jul 31 2016, 11:25 PM Post #1 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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Will be interesting with the Republicans in control (54 to 46 -- including the two independents that caucus with the democrats) with 16 seats up -- 14 of them being republican controlled coming in. In order to gain control of the senate, the democrats would have to win 7 of the 16 races. 6 would put it at 50-50. Current races and what polls have them at. Colorado: Glenn (R) v. Bennent (D) (incumbent): Bennent up 12.2 points in average of 4 polls this month. Illinois: Kirk (R) (incumbent) v. Duckworth (D): not many polls here. One in April had Duckworth up .5 percent, one in July had Kirk up 1.5 percent. Average of only two polls I could find has Kirk up .5 percent. Wisconsin: Johnson (R) (incumbent) v Feingold (D): Feingold up 9.3 percent in four polls. Arizona: McCain (R) (incumbent) v Kirkpatrick (D): McCain up 5.5 percent in two polls. Florida: Rubio (R) (incumbent) v Murphy (D): Rubio up 4.4 in five polls. Indiana: open seat previously controlled by republicans. Started out as Johnson (R) v Baron Hill (D). Hill dropped out in early July, stating he felt he could not win the race and his fundraising efforts were very lackluster. Evan Bayh, a former Indiana senator, took his spot on the ticker and Bayh leads Johnson by a very wide margin on very early polls. Missouri: Blunt (R) v. Kander (D). Blunt up 4.7 points in three polls. Nevada: open seat previously controlled by democrats. Heck (R) v. Cortez Mastro (D). Heck up 3 points in three polls. New Hampshire: Ayotte (R) (incumbent) v Hassan (D). In five polls, Ayotte is up .9 points. North Carolina: Burr (R) (incumbent) v Ross (D). In three polls, Burr is up 3.6 points. Ohio: Portmann (R) (incumbent) v Strickland (D). In three polls, Portmann is up 4 points. Pennsylvania: Toomey (R) (incumbent) v McGinty (D). In four polls, Toomey is up .3 points. The other four races are all should be won safely by republican incumbents. So, of the looks of it: one race looks like a guaranteed democrat incumbent retaining. four races look like a guaranteed republican incumbent rataining. two races looks like a republican to democrat switch almost definitely will switch. five races have a republican incumbent up by more than 3 points (3.6, 4, 4.4, 4.7, and 5) the other four races have republicans up .3, .5, .9, and 3 percent. I'd say 3 safe democrat, 5 safe republican, 4 lean republican, 4 toss ups. |
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| HoosierLars | Aug 1 2016, 09:09 AM Post #2 |
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3 in a row
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You need to pickup seven, as Pence will be breaking ties. |
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| brumdog44 | Aug 1 2016, 06:24 PM Post #3 |
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The guy picked last in gym class
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More like folding ties. |
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7:52 PM Jul 10
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7:52 PM Jul 10