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night 2 actions discussion.
Topic Started: Nov 26 2014, 01:09 AM (969 Views)
ScareChan

guys this is big. killing puns might be the play here.
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ScareChan

puns also confidently expressed that me8 was town. which is disconcerting.


puns is cop, i'm feeling it.
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ScareChan

the only downside is that if tange gets lynched tomorrow, it'll be hard to kill me8 if he claims that he took over as cop. but we would still have my roleblock so we could buy time to kill arti/ianh.

i think we can escape tomorrow with tange alive though, especially if we use the mass roleblock.
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ScareChan

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/70650771/803978662

there is spiral asking why no cop has claimed? seems genuine.

puns is cop.
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Paratroopa

Hmmm. My big question is: If Tange claims to be Roleblocked, and Puns knows that he was really the one Roleblocked, does he keep quiet about that and try to get Tange later, or does he immediately counterclaim with his information? I think that, in his position, slow playing it IS the right thing to do because he knows the deputy is out there, and by staying undercover he can shake future Roleblocks.

I would say that killing me813 is still the right thing to do since Puns doesn't actually have any scans yet, but if he knows he was RB'ed N1 he might go ham on Tange tomorrow, and killing him protects Tange.

I don't know though, it's risky. We have 5 confirmed town we have to deal with and we're talking about killing someone who ISN'T confirmed, remember that. At this rate, we're all going to get lynched just by process of elimination alone, which makes me feel awfully desperate.
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Paratroopa

Just crunching some stuff here. If we kill Puns, then that puts the day 3 roster at...

Scum:

Tange
Para
Atma
Death

People we can't lynch in a million years:

Articuno
Ulti
me813
Menu
Dj-zizzle

Leaving us with:

Catastrophy
Corrik
DamionDL
IANH (who is still probably a doctor!)
MI
Spiral

Yikes. This is seriously brutal.
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Paratroopa

On the other hand, if Puns really is cop and really got RB'ed, I think he absolutely wins the trust battle over Tange tomorrow, which would virtually confirm HIM, as well.

How borked do we think this game really is?
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scare

Well if you mass block and shoot puns me8 gets no scans

if tange is alive you strongman me8 the next night

if you are confident puns is cop then you need to kill him to protect tange. if he says he was blocked 2 nights in a row then tange is doa.

You can get a mislynch on Corrik. Ulti didnt buy him and he acted very brash yesterday outright trying to keep me alive. With a mass block tonight Corrik can be mislynched fairly easily

the fact that Thanksgiving is here for the Americans can pull some interest from the game as well so tomorrow is a very good chance for a mislynch assuming we mass block
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ScareChan

Paratroopa
Nov 26 2014, 09:18 AM
On the other hand, if Puns really is cop and really got RB'ed, I think he absolutely wins the trust battle over Tange tomorrow, which would virtually confirm HIM, as well.

How borked do we think this game really is?
I don't think puns will claimed blocked unless me8 dies. Even then he might not, since he doesn't actually have a scan. Could be that there's an indy with a roleblock, or maybe he considered that Leo might have been a RB !



here's the decision point: we have to get inside puns's head. if the deputy dies, and puns was blocked n1, what does puns do?



does he realize that he doesn't have a deputy now, and claim the roleblock to cast suspicion on tange, trusting in all our town protection to save him? does he consider if we have scum bus driver, or strongman or something?

or does he try to be tricky, have a lot of faith in himself to stay alive until day 3 and maybe get a scan off, knowing that if he claims cop, he'll be roleblocked. does he trust tange at all remotely to bus drive a roleblock off of him? does he realize that the mafia investigator aka our scanner is dead and does he thus think that we won't suspect him of being cop at all?



i'm leaning towards that latter. maybe we take our chances, kill the sure thing in me8, and pray that tange stays in the darkness.

you guys tell me.

i really wanna hear death and scare on this matter.
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scare

The big problem here is Menu suspects literally all of us, so even with Ulti being brash and all over the place you need to take Menu out first when it comes to it. Ulti can be lead to taking out anyone in that unconfirmed pile
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