| Long Range Weather Discussion | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: February 12 2011, 12:38 PM (3,854 Views) | |
| Mark (IWO) | March 1 2011, 01:32 PM Post #41 |
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The following video features 850hpa (upper air/temperatures at 1500m) for the period 1-17 March 2011. The pattern suggests that high pressure will remain in place over Ireland for the next 7-10 days. Little precipitation, outside of this coming Thursday when light rain and drizzle will affect parts of the north and west, is expected during this period although night time frosts will continue. 850hpa data provided by Meteociel.fr. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 2 2011, 02:21 PM Post #42 |
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FRIDAY to SUNDAY … Continuing fair and dry with a large daily temperature range between frosty overnight lows -3 to +2 C and highs 8-12 C. There is some chance of a slight cooling trend if high pressure repositions further east and cooler southeast winds develop, but this may only apply to Leinster and eastern counties of Ulster. OUTLOOK … The dry spell is likely to last to about Wed 9th. Indications at present are that we could then see a return to cloudier and wetter conditions in a moderate westerly flow. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 3 2011, 01:16 PM Post #43 |
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WEEKEND OUTLOOK … Little change, frosty nights under mostly clear skies, just a bit more cloud at times in the west and north, with partly cloudy to sunny skies each day. Lows in the range of -5 to -1 C and highs 8-11 C. NEXT WEEK … This quiet spell should persist through Monday and possibly Tuesday and will end quite gradually as the high shifts slowly southeast and the ridge begins to weaken, allowing somewhat stronger westerly winds and some influx of Atlantic moisture in the form of showers and clouds, but possibly not much rainfall in most areas. The longer term evolution could include a turn to more northerly winds mid-month. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| jen | March 3 2011, 08:07 PM Post #44 |
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SO THEN ITS TO GET BETTER AGAIN END OF MARCH BEGINNING OF APRIL ???????? |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 4 2011, 12:46 AM Post #45 |
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Hi Jen Sounds like you have a wedding date coming up or something? Looks like the unsettled weather will return by midweek and continue right up to the third week of the month, getting noticeably cooler at times. After the third week of the month, I would say with only low confidence that the weather will remain unsettled. I'll keep you posted here Mark |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 4 2011, 11:12 AM Post #46 |
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MONDAY … Little change, frosty to start, partly cloudy daytime, similar temperature range to Sunday. TUESDAY … Increasing cloud, some fog, low cloud and drizzle spreading across the north, typical temperature range -2 to +10 C but winds increasing somewhat by afternoon (from the west). OUTLOOK … Variable skies, some showers, a little milder especially at night, in a west to northwest flow, but high pressure could stay close enough to keep skies somewhat less cloudy in the south, so that some frosts may continue in a few parts of Munster well inland. There is some chance of a turn to colder weather but this is by no means certain yet. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 5 2011, 11:14 AM Post #47 |
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TUESDAY … Partly to mostly cloudy, rain developing in some parts of the north, winds W to NW 15-30 mph, lows near 2 C except for frosts inland south, and highs near 10 C. OUTLOOK … Breezy or windy at times mid-week to Friday, rather cool in a northwest flow, showers could be sleety at times on higher ground in the north, winds 25-45 mph at times … average lows around 4 C and average highs around 9 C north to 12 C south, but colder at times in north. The period 19th to 21st could become quite windy and wet. But at least that’s a few days after the 17th! |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 6 2011, 02:31 PM Post #48 |
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OUTLOOK ... Thursday and Friday are likely to remain breezy or windy and rather cool with showers, possibly mixed and wintry over the north. However, colder air will be arriving next weekend and there could be a brief return to wintry conditions with temperatures held down to only 3-5 C and nights below freezing. Some snow could fall in a few places, particularly on Sunday into Monday. There are no indications at present that the cold weather will persist.![]() Upper air (1500m) temperatures for Sunday 13 March. Sleet-snow showers likely, particularly on high ground in the west and north of the country. Image Meteociel |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Audi-Tek | March 6 2011, 02:46 PM Post #49 |
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.Could it still be cold on the 16th even for Paddys Day Mark. |
| Why is cloud 9 so amazing ? What is wrong with cloud 8 ? | |
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| Audi-Tek | March 6 2011, 03:01 PM Post #50 |
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| Why is cloud 9 so amazing ? What is wrong with cloud 8 ? | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 6 2011, 09:29 PM Post #51 |
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snow showers now a real possibility by next weekend. ecm and gfs charts showing upper air temps of -8 or lower for much of ireland as showers push se across ireland. will keep you posted |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Patrick (IWO) | March 6 2011, 09:45 PM Post #52 |
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ECMWF 12z 850hPa temperature forecast for this coming Friday:![]() Not warm! Higher ground/night time snow would seem to be more favoured at this stage but something to keep an eye on alright. |
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| Audi-Tek | March 6 2011, 10:12 PM Post #53 |
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Funny Patrick, how Met Eireann havent mentioned any cold snap in their farm forecast today,For next weekend they said wet and blustery, Am I surprised, No. |
| Why is cloud 9 so amazing ? What is wrong with cloud 8 ? | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 7 2011, 12:31 PM Post #54 |
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The spring like conditions of the past week will be replaced by colder conditions this weekend with wintry showers, mostly of hail or sleet, and night-time frosts expected in many parts. Some snow showers are likely across high ground particularly in the northwest and north as northerly winds take hold across the country on Saturday. The cold spell is likely to be brief however. Increasing cloud cover and wind by the middle of next week will see frost becoming less of a problem as rain or showers once again extend across the country from the southwest. According to Irish Weather Online Senior Forecaster Peter O’Donnell said: “Brief cold snaps are a regular occurrence during March which normally presents us with a mixed bag of weather. The dry conditions of the last week will be replaced by rain over the next few days before colder weather moves down over the country at the weekend. This will be replaced by milder and more unsettled weather again by midweek next week.” Commenting on the coming weekend’s weather, Mr. O’Donnell stated: “It will be cold and unsettled with mixed wintry showers possible, even some accumulations of snow especially in Donegal, higher parts of Connacht and across central Ulster. Further south, it will not be quite as cold but highs may struggle to reach 6-7 C. The coming weekend’s weather is by no means anything as severe as what we have seen in Ireland this winter but it will feel raw quite raw in north to north-westerly winds, which will slacken and turn north-easterly later on Sunday ![]() “This cold spell seems likely to extend into early parts of the following week but it should gradually warm up to around normal temperature levels after that”, added Mr. O’Donnell. Ireland enjoyed spells of unbroken sunshine last week with temperatures rising to between 12-14c in many parts. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 7 2011, 05:39 PM Post #55 |
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BBC MONTHLY OUTLOOK Published at 10:00, 7 March (Next update at 10:00, 14 March) Written by Nina Ridge Summary Turning a little milder, with a lot of dry weather High pressure will relinquish its grip for the first couple of weeks, allowing for some more unsettled conditions to move in off the Atlantic. But high pressure should again return by the end of the month. Overall, sunshine amounts will be above average with only small amounts of rain across more southern parts of the United Kingdom. Temperatures should eventually increase a little, making it feel more like early Spring. Monday 7 March 2011 to Sunday 13 March 2011 Becoming unsettled and remaining rather cool. This week will see a change from the quiet, settled conditions of the previous few days to more unsettled weather moving in off the Atlantic. This will be most noticeable across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England, where there will be spells of rain, with some sleet and snow over the hills. A few showers are also expected across southern parts of the United Kingdom and it will be fairly breezy everywhere. Temperatures will start off rather cold, with some significant frost under clear skies in the south, but increasing cloud and wind will see frost becoming less of a problem as the week progresses. Monday 14 March 2011 to Sunday 20 March 2011 Changeable across the country, still rather cool. A fairly changeable spell of weather is likely for the whole of the United Kingdom. Most parts of the country should see some rain or showers, with the wettest conditions likely to be in the north and northwest. Despite losing the northeasterly airflow, temperatures are still expected be generally below the seasonal average, although when the sun shines it should feel pleasantly mild. Monday 21 March 2011 to Sunday 3 April 2011 Generally dry once again for the south. The weather looks as if it will settle down for many areas by the end of March, especially across the southern half of the United Kingdom, as high pressure takes up residence over the near continent. England and Wales should see well below average rainfall, but occasional bands of rain will continue to run into Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Temperatures should rise to above normal across eastern Scotland and northeast England, with nearer normal temperatures expected elsewhere. Next week Much of the UK saw a fairly dry winter overall, but how is April going to shape up? |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| SandraD77 | March 7 2011, 10:03 PM Post #56 |
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Awesome!
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Boo to a return to cold weather! Is time to welcome the spring with open arms... sunshine, warmer weather, longer spells of daylight... boooo to cold! |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 8 2011, 01:36 PM Post #57 |
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The following video features 850hpa (upper air/temperatures at 1500m) for the period 8-24 March 2011. The pattern suggests that our weather will turn briefly colder this weekend. Wintry showers will be restricted to the N/NW and on higher ground elsewhere, with night-time frosts in all areas. The Atlantic will re-establish itself early next week. Temperatures will rise and there will be occasional rain/showers. High pressure bringing with it more settled weather looks like building around or shortly after St Patrick's Day. Data by Meteociel and Irish Weather Online |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 8 2011, 09:49 PM Post #58 |
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Looks like the north and northwest are most at risk of seeing any snow at the weekend SNOW RISK CHART ![]() 850hpas (air temps at 1500m) should be at least -8c for precip to fall as snow. Here most of the country is less than this. ![]() |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 9 2011, 11:49 AM Post #59 |
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SATURDAY … Cloudy and cold. Rather breezy near the west coast. Mixed wintry showers possible, lows near 2 C and highs near 7 C. SUNDAY … Variable cloud with some sunny breaks. Cold, isolated wintry showers mostly in Connacht and Ulster. Lows near -2 C and highs near 6 C. MONDAY … Continuing cold but more settled. Winds north to northeast and highs around 7 C. OUTLOOK … Days gradually turning milder in a southwest flow, but some sharp frosts are possible midweek. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 9 2011, 12:11 PM Post #60 |
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The below update is based on the latest output from the GEFS weather model. The latest information suggests as we forecast earlier this week that wintry showers, mostly of hail and sleet/wet snow, this weekend will be confined in the main to high ground in the N and NW. Risk of snow on higher ground in Donegal Thursday night ![]() ![]() Threat of wintry weather lifts overnight Thursday and into Friday as upper air/1500 m temps again rise ![]() It's Saturday eve before colder weather moves in from the W/NW ![]() Occasional high ground wintry showers in west by sat night ![]() Occasional wintry showers by Sunday morning in N and NW ![]() ![]() By Sunday evening the risk of wintry showers covers most of Connacht and Ulster ![]() before retreating back to ciastal areas by sunday night ![]() Monday looks like remaining cold but relatively dry. IWO Long Range forecast on main website |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Jambo IWO | March 9 2011, 11:01 PM Post #61 |
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looks like a cold windy sleety rainy mess this weekend now
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i eat weather forecaster's for breakfast.... please donate revup4dsi | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 10 2011, 10:56 AM Post #62 |
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FRIDAY … A bright start to the day in the east and south, cloudy with outbreaks of rain in the west spreading to the north by midday, some bursts of heavier rain there, amounts 5-10 mms but staying almost dry in the southeast … highs 7-10 C in moderate southerly breezes. SATURDAY … Variable cloud, cold, wintry showers likely over parts of Ulster and Connacht, lows generally 2-4 C and highs 7-9 C except near 4-5 C in higher parts of the northwest. Some snow likely to accumulate above 300m in Donegal, Mayo and some parts of west Ulster. Winds variable as low pressure crosses the northeast, winds turning northerly late in the day. SUNDAY … Variable cloud, cold, wintry showers at times, snow only likely at higher elevations but hail more widespread. Winds becoming northerly to northeasterly at 15-30 mph. Lows near 1 C and highs 5-8 C. OUTLOOK … A cool start to the week, becoming more settled in northeast winds, although still quite cloudy, frost in a few areas then more widespread mid-week as skies clear, but a somewhat milder end to the week, possibly turning quite unsettled just around the 17th. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 11 2011, 12:19 PM Post #63 |
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![]() Heaviest rainfall midday to midnight on Friday. Map meteoblue TODAY … Cloudy with periods of rain, heaviest in the west this morning and in Ulster by this afternoon. 5-10 mms potential there, but closer to 2-5 mms in the southeast. Some sleet or wet snow likely on higher terrain (above 300m) in the west and northwest later. Not as windy as yesterday with light to moderate south winds. Highs around 4-7 C in the northwest to 9-11c in the southeast. TONIGHT … Showers or longer periods of rain continuing. Sleet or snow possible on high ground in the northwest and north. Winds south backing to southeast 10-20 mph, lows 3-6 C. SATURDAY … Mostly cloudy, further outbreaks of rain heavier in south and east this time, becoming sleety on high ground especially in the north. Cold, highs only 7-9 C. Rainfalls 10-20 mms (snowfalls on mountain summits 10-20 cms). SATURDAY NIGHT … Cold with rain in most areas with sleet or wet snow possible on high ground, particularly in west Munster, Connacht and Ulster. Winds backing further to east and then northeast 15-30 mph, lows 2-4 C. SUNDAY … Breezy to windy, winds NE 20-35 mph. Cold with outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow. Snow most likely on high ground. Some high-elevation locations could see up to 10 cms of snow. MONDAY … Breezy and cold with occasional wintry showers. Winds NE 20-35 mph, lows 0-3 C and highs 5-8 C. OUTLOOK … Turning slightly milder but near or still below normal through the week in more of a southeast flow. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 11 2011, 07:58 PM Post #64 |
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TONIGHT ... Showers or longer periods of rain continuing. Sleet or snow possible on high ground in the northwest and north. Winds south backing to southeast 10-20 mph, lows 3-6 C. SATURDAY ... Mostly cloudy, further outbreaks of rain heavier in south and east this time, becoming sleety on high ground especially in the north. Cold, highs only 7-9 C. Rainfalls 10-20 mms (snowfalls on mountain summits 10-20 cms). SATURDAY NIGHT ... Cold with rain in most areas with sleet or wet snow possible on high ground, particularly in west Munster, Connacht and Ulster. Winds backing further to east and then northeast 15-30 mph, lows 2-4 C. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 11 2011, 07:59 PM Post #65 |
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coldest temps tonight at 3am![]() Animated HIRLAM temp forecast for the next 24hrs: Yellow = below 5c / Orange = above 5c CLICK HERE |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Audi-Tek | March 11 2011, 10:51 PM Post #66 |
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http://www.oceanweather.com/data/NorthSea/SST.GIF . Todays Sea Surface Temperatures |
| Why is cloud 9 so amazing ? What is wrong with cloud 8 ? | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 12 2011, 12:34 PM Post #67 |
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ODAY … Very cold in the north and west, turning colder elsewhere this afternoon. Further snow over parts of Ulster and Connacht may produce accumulations of 5-12 cms, especially on higher terrain. Further east and south, and near sea level in the north, hail or rain showers turning at times to sleet or wet snow. Somewhat milder south of the line from Dublin to Cork, but this milder zone may slowly reduce to Wexford over the day as colder air seeps in from the northwest. Winds turning northeast 15-30 mph in most places, and highest temperatures 3-6 C in the north and west and 7-9 C in the south and east. TONIGHT … Snow may become heavy over parts of the north, giving 10 cms or more, with thunder-snow possible at times. Sleet elsewhere with some snow accumulations mostly on hills. Winds northeast 15-30 mph, turning more northerly in Donegal (where snow may become very heavy inland). Lows 0-2 C. Slippery and icy sections on many roads. SUNDAY … Heavy showers of hail or snow likely in variable amounts of cloud. Some brighter intervals too. Winds will be northerly 20-35 mph except in southeastern counties where they will be more variable easterly. Very cold with highs only 3 to 7 C. Sunday night will see further light snow in places, mixing with drizzle, and temperatures near -1 C inland. MONDAY … Variable cloud with fog and drizzle in many parts. Light rain or sleet in the southeast. Winds 15-30 mph, highs near 7 C. TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY … Some improvement. Mmilder, although risk of overnight frosts remains. Highs 10-13 C in partly cloudy skies with some isolated showers possible. THURSDAY … Showery, highs near 12 C. FURTHER OUTLOOK … Somewhat unsettled. May turn windy at times around Friday and the weekend. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 14 2011, 11:26 AM Post #68 |
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ODAY … A few wintry showers continuing, most of these moving west and southwest into Galway, Clare, Tipperary and later into Limerick, Cork and Kerry. Hills and moutains in the southwest and later northwest could see snow accumulations. There is potential for more to develop in other parts of the country midday and afternoon, but most places remaining dry with variable cloud. East to northeast winds 15-30 mph, and cold with highs ranging between 4 to 7 C. TONIGHT … Partly cloudy to overcast, some scattered frost, fog and mist developing, rain or sleet possible near southeast coast towards morning. Lows -3 to +2 C. TUESDAY … Intervals of rain or sleet, mixing with snow on higher terrain, possibly confined to eastern counties but with the risk of outbreaks further west, in southeast winds of 15-25 mph … remaining quite chilly and rather misty although some better sunny breaks possible afternoon, highs around 5 to 7 C east, 5-9 C west. WEDNESDAY … Generally milder, in partly cloudy to overcast conditions, south to southwest winds, isolated showers at first, periods of rain by evening or overnight into Thursday … lows near -2 C then afternoon highs rising to 10-13 C. THURSDAY 17th … Breezy, showers or periods of light rain clearing late morning west to mid-afternoon east, possible mixed wintry showers in Connacht by evening as it turns colder again … morning lows 3-7 C, afternoon highs about 9 or 10 C, then falling to 3-5 C evening. FRIDAY … Breezy, cool but with some welcome sunshine at times, morning frosts, lows -2 to +1 C and highs 8-11 C. SATURDAY … Dry and frosty to start, turning cloudy, rain arriving in some northern and western counties late in day, winds picking up to SSW 20-40 mph. Lows -3 to zero C, highs 10-13 C. SUNDAY … Breezy and mild with showers, possibly turning quite windy (WSW 30-50 mph) at times, and colder again by late in the day. Highs near 12 C. OUTLOOK … There are signs that a northerly windflow will become established across Ireland. This is looking quite plausible given the developments upstream (turning much warmer in eastern North America) but it’s far enough away that we can’t say “carved in stone” yet, at least for any significant chill or wintry showers that could accompany. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| jen | March 14 2011, 05:13 PM Post #69 |
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well mark can ya see what 2nd of april is like yet sorry now for askin again as ya can see im anxious big day
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| Mark (IWO) | March 14 2011, 05:21 PM Post #70 |
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Hi Jen Initial signs are that it will be relatively settled with high pressure close to or over Ireland. Remind me again in a few days and I will check for you. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 14 2011, 06:35 PM Post #71 |
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BBC OUTLOOK Summary Changeable March theme spills into April Just a few days or just a few miles can make all the difference to the look and feel of the weather in March. Both Scotland and Northern Ireland have experienced such phenomena in recent days. Close to freezing and snow a plenty seperated from sunny spells and several degrees of relative warmth by just a few miles. The coming weeks of late March and early April may not offer such a taste of winter as some have seen in the past week, but early Spring's famed variability will be much in evidence nonetheless. There's more warmth in the late March sun but sea temperatures are close to their annual low. Wind direction and a little sunshine can make all the difference to the feel of the day. Monday 14 March 2011 to Sunday 20 March 2011 Winter's grip released over Scotland The weekend's snowfall over Scotland should soon become but a memory as milder air is imported from the Atlantic. The snow-bearing weather front will weaken in the early part of the week but sunshine may be in short supply. Scotland and Northern Ireland will be briefly wet again by Tuesday whilst England and Wales will have enjoyed a quiet, relatively dry start to the week. Tuesday, indeed, could be warm in the south with highs of 14C. Wednesday too will be quiet, if dull, as the British Isles lie betwixt weather systems. Thursday will see wet weather across northern and western parts of the British Isles, with the southeast likely to see this rain overnight. Friday will be marked by a cooler, fresher feel in all areas and copious showers across Northern Ireland and western Britian. Monday 21 March 2011 to Sunday 27 March 2011 North-South divide alive and well Southern and eastern parts of the British Isles should be mainly dry with some sunshine, although it may be rather cloudy to start with some light rain. By contrast, the rest of the British Isles will be unsettled with outbreaks of rain, some of which will be heavy, and may turn to snow on high ground in the north. Temperatures will be around average, although there will be a risk of night frosts later in the week as temperatures by day and night fall away. Monday 28 March 2011 to Sunday 10 April 2011 Change of month but little change in the weather It's likely to remain settled in the south of both England and Wales but with some variability in the temperatures. Sunshine will be limited as there could be a good deal of cloud. Scotland and Northern Ireland will se further spells of rain and showers which, again, will turn wintry on northern hills. Night frosts could catch unwary gardeners. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 15 2011, 10:55 AM Post #72 |
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TODAY … Drizzle clearing from East Ulster where 3-5 mms could fall. Skies eventually partly clearing to sunny conditions. A frosty start further west but turning relatively pleasant by 10am in light winds. Highs for most places 8-10 C. Winds will tend to be rather variable in direction except for a steady SE to S wind over the Irish Sea. TONIGHT … Clear intervals and a sharp frost likely. Fog or mist developing, lows -4 to -1 C for most rural areas, -1 to +3 C urban and coastal. WEDNESDAY … Increasing cloud but a bright start to the day and possibly sunshine into the afternoon in the southeast which will cloud over later. Winds will slowly pick up to become SSW 15-30 mph. Rain by evening. Highs about 10-12 C. THURSDAY (17th) … Morning showers or mist with drizzle, clearing gradually to partly cloudy by afternoon. Winds turning westerly then northwest at 10-20 mph (a rather weak frontal trough) Morning lows only 4-7 C then highs 8-10 C but a trend to colder weather in Connacht by late afternoon and evening (2-4 C there). Possibly a few light hail showers near northwest coasts. ![]() FRIDAY … Frosty to start, then variable cloud, mist or light rain developing mainly in the northwest,but some areas staying dry. Winds WSW 15-30 mph, turning a bit milder again. Lows -3 to +2 C and highs 9-12 C. WEEKEND OUTLOOK … Mainly dry and milder, although some low cloud and mist near the northwest coasts. Winds SW 10-20 mph increasing to 20-30 mph late Sunday. Some rain possible late Sunday also. Highs each day near 11 C FURTHER OUTLOOK … This milder spell looks set to last a few days into the following week before either a gradual or a sharp turn to colder weather from a northwest to northerly direction.
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| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| jen | March 15 2011, 04:49 PM Post #73 |
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thats brill news thanks mark
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| Mark (IWO) | March 16 2011, 10:55 AM Post #74 |
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TODAY … Sunny for most and any fog patches dissipating fairly quickly. Watch out for icy sections on roads especially in the midlands. Becoming quite mild around midday and afternoon in a gentle southerly breeze, highs 10-13 C. Cloud spreading into the west by afternoon and central counties this evening. TONIGHT … Cloudy across most regions with rain developing, rather light for most places with fog and drizzle persisting into morning, lows 2-5 C. The southeast may stay clear long enough to develop a brief frost this evening before it warms up under overspreading clouds later. THURSDAY 17th … The morning drizzle should end rather soon after sunrise except in the southeast, around 0900h, then some sunny spells in westerly breezes. More showers developing in parts of Connacht, some of these becoming wintry by late afternoon or evening over higher terrain especially. However, it should be quite pleasant during parades around the country with highs 8-10 C, before a colder evening with readings generally 2-5 C. FRIDAY … Morning frosts, lows -3 to +2 C. Mixed wintry showers in a few places in Connacht, then variable cloud. Breezy with further showers or outbreaks of light rain in westerly winds 15-25 mph. Highs 8-11 C. SATURDAY … Generally dry but some patchy drizzle or light rain possible in the west at times. The sun breaking through at times especially in the east. Fairly mild, lows around -2 to +2 C and highs around 11 C. SUNDAY … Cloudy with sunny intervals, some fog or mist near west coast at times, drizzle possible northwest coasts, but otherwise a fine day likely under high pressure … winds light in southeast, to SW 20 mph in Donegal … lows around 2 C and highs 10-12 C. OUTLOOK … Dry and warmer still next week. A high pressure system is not going to be pulled west in a retrograde movement as earlier thought, but will instead remain to the southeast allowing the flow to remain southwesterly. ![]() High pressure over Ireland and the UK, Monday 22 March 2011. Image Meteociel |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 17 2011, 10:47 AM Post #75 |
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FROM Peter O'Donnell SATURDAY … Morning frost in a few spots, variable cloud to follow. Some showers developing mostly west and north, lows -3 to +2 C and highs in the range of 10-13 C. SUNDAY … Cloud giving way to hazy sunshine, moderate S to SW winds near west and north coasts. Lows 0-3 C and highs 11-14 C. MONDAY to WEDNESDAY … Fine and dry with some rather warm temperatures inland during the day. Cool to cold at night with fog patches developing. Light southeast to south winds. Lows in the range of -3 to +3 C and highs generally 10-14 C but possibly touching 16 C well inland. OUTLOOK … This rather warm, dry spell may just continue with only slight moderation as the formerly advertised cold outbreak seems to have died somewhere on the shores of Fantasy Island (FI) (what we weather enthusiasts call the 8-16 day part of the model runs) … but eventually the models are hinting at a return to colder unsettled weather, except that now it’s into the early part of April. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 17 2011, 10:50 AM Post #76 |
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![]() High pressure staying with us more or less right up to the 28th, at least. that is according to the GEFS The ECM says has us relatively high and dry until at least the 25th |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| Jambo IWO | March 17 2011, 10:57 AM Post #77 |
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Yes it looks like spring is going to well and truly begin,as to the cold at the end of April hopefully like the cold forecast since Jan it will just get pushed further out and never materialise,im just looking forward to heat from now on. |
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i eat weather forecaster's for breakfast.... please donate revup4dsi | |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 18 2011, 11:55 AM Post #78 |
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FROM PETER TODAY ... Bright or at least dry if cloudy to start the day, with some cloud and drizzle at times coming off the Atlantic in Galway, Mayo, Sligo, west Clare and west Kerry. Likely to stay dry elsewhere apart from widely scattered showers in some central and southern counties. Highs 8-12 C. Rainfalls generally 2-5 mms at most. TONIGHT ... Clear intervals in the south and east. Frost developing, some fog patches, but drizzle continuing at times in the west and north, so that lows may range widely from -2 C inland in thesoutheast to +5 C in coastal Connacht. SATURDAY ... Following early morning frost and/or fog in a few spots, variable cloud will follow, with some showers developing mostly in the west and north but spreading further east later in the day. There is a small risk of a brief and weak thundershower. Highs in the range of 10-13 C. SUNDAY ... Cloud giving way to hazy sunshine. Moderate S to SW winds near west and north coasts. Lows 0-3 C with patchy light frost, and daytime highs 11-14 C. MONDAY to WEDNESDAY ... Fine and dry with some rather warm temperatures inland during the day. Cool to cold at night with fog patches. Light southeast to south winds. Lows in the range of -3 to +3 C and highs generally 10-14 C but possibly touching 16 C well inland. Under very strong high pressure midweek, winds could be calm or very light, giving rise to local sea breezes and fog drifting inland near south coast. OUTLOOK ... The mild to warm dry spell should gradually taper off to near normal and slightly unsettled conditions, but in general the next week to ten days will only produce rain from Saturday's sporadic showers and a few other trace amounts. Therefore, the month looks increasingly dry. Temperatures seem likely to fall slightly below normal eventually, near the end of the month, in a northwest to north flow. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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| jen | March 20 2011, 05:15 PM Post #79 |
Calm
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well mark hows the 2nd april lookin now :: :)) |
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| Mark (IWO) | March 21 2011, 06:01 PM Post #80 |
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Hi Jen, SW winds look likely to be in place by then with the atlantic re-establishing itself in the last few days of the month. This very well may change but at the moment it looks blustery with rain or showers. BBC OUTLOOK Published at 10:00, 21 March (Next update at 11:00, 28 March) Written by Philip Avery Summary Dry spell continues for southern Britain An Atlantic high will bring yet more dry weather to the south of the British Isles. I do remember that last week ended on a wet note quite widely across southern areas of both England and Wales, but the fact that I remembered that particular episode only serves to illustrate how exceptional the rain was. However it has been, and will continue to be a different story across Scotland and Northern Ireland. This week's high will mirror that of recent weeks in that its influence will be insufficient to keep Atlantic fronts at bay. The first part of the week may also be windy in this region, another difference to southern parts. Monday 21 March 2011 to Sunday 27 March 2011 Fine but rather cloudy and later more unsettled High pressure will lie across southern Britain in the early part of the week, producing a lot of dry weather but also delivering disappointing amounts of sunshine. Later in the week when the high migrates northward to be centred to the northwest of Scotland, incoming fronts will bring cloud and rain into these southern areas. Fronts will drift across northern Scotland early in the week before making inroads further south later on. Increased cloud in the region will do little for sunshine totals but breaks to the east of high ground will allow temperatures to climb well above the seasonal norm, with 16C possible. More certain breaks across England and Wales under the high pressure may lead to some night time frosts. Monday 28 March 2011 to Sunday 3 April 2011 High pressure declines With little to stop the progression of weather fronts from the Atlantic, the weather across all parts of the British Isles will have a less settled look to it. As a consequence, sunshine amounts will only be around average, with sub- par totals probable for southern Wales and southwest England. Rainfall amounts will fluctuate between close to the norm in southern parts of Britain to above average in both western Scotland and Northern Ireland. Daytime temperatures will be unremarkable but increased cloud amounts and the advance of the season should help to reduce the possibility of night frosts. Monday 4 April 2011 to Sunday 17 April 2011 Suitable Spring variations for early April There will be little signs of a prolonged, settled spell of weather in any part of the British Isles with an Atlantic flow bringing spells of wet weather to all parts. At this range, it looks as though the wettest weather could be found across southwest Scotland and East Anglia. As a consequence, temperatures and sunshine amounts in these regions will suffer but few areas will top their seasonal norms. |
| The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare. | |
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