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Long Range Weather Discussion
Topic Started: February 12 2011, 12:38 PM (3,853 Views)
jen
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thanks mark :(
looks bad so
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Mark (IWO)
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checked again for you today Jen. looks the same. SW flow with bands of rain or showers

Peter O'Donnell's forecast now also indicating this

OUTLOOK … A gradual return to more active weather in a southwest flow, nothing too cold before a mild, muggy Atlantic flow develops. Mark down 2-4 April for a possible windy and wet period.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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jen
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thanks a million mark fair play to you :) please god let ot change ill check every day in mean time ....cheers
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SATURDAY ... Some sunshine continuing in the south and southwest but variable cloud elsewhere. There is a chance of light rain or drizzle briefly in northern coastal counties, but overall a dry and seasonable day with lows near -1 C and highs near 12 C.

SUNDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals. A chance of a brief shower but most places dr. Lows near 2 C and highs near 12 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, pleasant with highs 11-14 C.

OUTLOOK ... A gradual return to more unsettled weather as winds turn south-westerly, with a mild, muggy Atlantic flow developing. Some showers are likely by Wednesday 30th and Thursday 1st but mark down 2-4 April for a possible windy and wet period.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Dry weather will hold until late Monday. Back to unsettled and occasionally windy weather thereafter. Enjoy the sun while you can
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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TODAY … The warm spell will continue in many western and central counties but in the east, there may be a cooler northeast breeze coming inland. Most areas will remain sunny with considerable haze, and fog could drift inland near the east and north coasts. Highs 13-16 C in the south and west, to 9-12 C east and north.

TONIGHT … Clear at first, fog or mist becoming rather widespread. Scattered frost, lows -3 to +3 C.

SATURDAY … Variable cloud and not as warm as previous days. However, it will still feel quite mild in the south and west, where highs will reach 11-15 C, contrasting with 9-12 C parts of the east and north. Light winds in general and some tendency for all coasts to have cool sea breezes and fog drifting near shore or inland.

SUNDAY … Partly cloudy after morning frosts and fog clear. Lows -3 to +2 C. Some sunshine by midday and highs 11-14 C.

MONDAY … Continuing mild and dry after a frosty start. Lows -4 to +1 C and daytime highs 10-14 C.

OUTLOOK … Gradually becoming more cloudy with some showers in the south and southwest in particular. Some places could remain dry until Wednesday or Thursday when it will become rather windy and unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain. This unsettled weather looks like continuing into the early days of April.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER … Cold in the east and central regions, a warmer east to southeast flow in the western states and into British Columbia. The cold air mass is sprawling and will hold off future storms for several days now. Highs were only -5 C or so in southern Ontario on Thursday, close to record low values for this late in the season.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Jambo IWO
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enjoy the nice weather it's all downhill this week

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i eat weather forecaster's for breakfast....
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a battle between a high system over continental europe and lows to our west and north the following week. Hopefully the former wins through but it looks at present that the atlantic will remain the dominant force in our weather for the next 10-14 days at least
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Looks like becoming increasingly unsettled as we move towards the weekend

Ah well, good while it lasted...

TUESDAY … Cloudy with a few brighter intervals. Patchy drizzle or light rain likely in some parts of the west, midlands and north throughout the day but most places staying completely dry. Daytime highs 12-14 C.

WEDNESDAY … Breezy and becoming windy later in the west and north, as south to southwest winds (30-50 mph) arrive. Periods of rain with some heavy downpours in the second half of Wednesday, especially between midday and evening. Lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.

THURSDAY … Variable cloud. Some further rain mainly in the west and north. Winds SW 20-40 mph. Mild to warm and muggy, lows near 10 C and highs 15-17 C.

FRIDAY … Cloudy and breezy with showers or longer periods of rain. Lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

OUTLOOK … Unsettled over the weekend into Monday 4th April, with some very windy conditions possible at times. Temperatures near 12 C.

The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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WEDNESDAY … Breezy or locally windy. Mild with high humidity giving a muggy feel to the day. Winds increasing to SSW 30-50 mph, highs 14-16 C, highest in Kilkenny, Carlow and inland parts of Wicklow, Wexford, Waterford and south Tipperary.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT … Heavy rain at times, possibly thundery. 20-30 mms possible. Very mild and breezy, lows only 9-12 C. Winds strong SW 30-50 mph,

THURSDAY … Variable cloud with further heavy showers across the north during the morning but there will be somewhat of a clearance later in the day. Fog drifting inland from the south coast and parts of the west coast. Very mild or even warm in moderate southerly winds, highs 15-18 C.

FRIDAY … Further periods of rain developing. Continuing very mild or warm with southerly winds, lows only 11-13 C and highs 15-17 C.

WEEKEND and MONDAY … An unsettled, sometimes very windy period with further heavy rain likely. Highs in the 12-14 C range. Nights continuing rather mild.

APRIL LONG-RANGE FORECAST … Milder than normal by 1-2 degrees. Near or slightly above normal rainfall. Near average sunshine.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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New 5-day forecast map added to long range forecast on main website
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TODAY will start out rather wet as a band of heavy showers moves steadily northeast, to be followed by variable cloudiness and mild conditions on moderate SW winds 20-40 mph. Highs will reach 13-15 C. Today's rainfall amounts (largely received already in the west) will amount to 5-10 mms. Due to the long dry spell and a build-up of oily material on roads, some roads will be unexpectedly slippery. Caution advised. Some sunshine will break through at times later, then further showers are likely to develop, some with thunder and hail by late in the day.

TONIGHT will be windy and in some parts stormy as winds increase to SSW 40-60 mph (see alert above). Very strong gusts may develop in coastal and higher parts of the northwest, around midnight to 0300h. All other regions will become quite windy too (35-50 mph). Some showers with hail and thunder will mark a fast-moving frontal system. Minor wind damage is possible. Lows will be around 7-9 C.

THURSDAY will become partly cloudy for a while, then overcast again, muggy and very mild with further rain developing, moderate to heavy at times, in a steady SW wind approaching gale force on coasts. While the strong windstorm will abate, further strong gusts may develop later. Highs will reach about 14-16 C and 10-20 mms of rain are likely, with some parts of the southwest receiving 30-40 mms by late Thursday.

FRIDAY will also be breezy to windy, very mild to warm, with south to southwest winds 25-45 mph, lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C.

SATURDAY will start windy and wet, then become partly cloudy with more isolated showers as the day progresses, with mild temperatures between lows of 10 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY will bring variable cloud and somewhat cooler temperatures, with a continued risk of showers in the north mostly, lows near 5 C and highs near 10 C north to 13 C south.

The OUTLOOK for NEXT WEEK is for continued very mild weather returning quite rapidly on Monday and settling in with somewhat of a drying trend eventually, although the first part of the week could continue a little unsettled. Highs will remain in the 14-17 C range, nights will be generally rather mild too. More sunshine may develop later in the week.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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FRIDAY … Partly cloudy, showers or periods of light rain, but also brighter intervals, mild or warm and muggy in a southerly wind 20-35 mph. Highs 15-17 C.

SATURDAY … Showers and fresher as winds veer more southwesterly to westerly. Lows near 10 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY … Variable cloud, a few passing showers mostly north, somewhat cooler, lows 3-5 C and highs 8-12 C.

MONDAY … Cloudy with some light rain but some areas dry. Lows near 7 C and daytime highs near 17 C.

OUTLOOK … Very mild or warm next week, some highs close to 20 C. Windy at times (SW’ly) in the north and west but further ahead, a tendency to backing winds to SE and less windy in general.

The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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SATURDAY … A few heavy showers moving through the north during the morning. Variable cloud elsewhere with a few more showers. Not quite as mild as previous days. Highs 12-14c to begin with but dropping considerably by late afternoon or evening. Winds WSW 20-30 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT … Variable cloud. Showers becoming more isolated as some clear periods develop. A slight frost is possible well inland, lows -1 to +4 C.

SUNDAY … Cloudy with sunny intervals. A few showers developing while there will be periods of rain in the northwest. Temperatures recovering gradually to about 8-10 deg C, while it will remain mild overnight. Winds backing to SW 20-40 mph.

MONDAY … Cloudy with periods of rain. Breezy or windy, some dry intervals developing across the south and east. Very mild again with daytime highs 14-17 C.

OUTLOOK … The rest of the week will be very mild or warm. Highs could reach 20 C in places. A few more showers at first but these becoming increasingly confined to Connacht and west Ulster. Drier weather will develop as the above average temperatures continue. Winds will also slacken from a strong SW at first to moderate Southerly later.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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SUNDAY … Cloudy with some sunny intervals. Occasional showers. Winds rather blustery at times SW 20-35 mph, highs 9-12 C.

MONDAY … Cloudy with periods of rain sometimes rather heavy in Connacht but perhaps sporadic in the southeast. Milder, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

TUESDAY … Variable cloud, a few showers lingering in north. Very mild to warm with sunny intervals developing across the inland south and east. Lows around 6 C and highs near 17 C (possibly 19-20 inland southeast).

WEDNESDAY … Sunny intervals, mild to warm, highs 17-21 C.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY … Sunny and warm with highs 17-21 C. Much cooler overnight.

OUTLOOK … It may stay quite warm for another few days or even a week, and longer range indications suggest a sharp cooling trend mid-month that may not last too long before the high pressure returns after being pushed back to the west briefly. This may possibly be a near-record warm April ahead.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER … Snow covers the ground after Friday’s storm across inland New England, and some places got over 25 cms (Bangor, Maine had a daily record snowfall). The storm gave cold sleety rain showers around NYC and further south. Cool and dry further west. A storm is moving inland over the Oregon coast and will track across the Rockies today into the northern plains states Sunday. This will draw in very warm, humid Gulf of Mexico air into the central states on the weekend and set off heavy or severe storms in places like Oklahoma, Kansas and Arkansas by Sunday night. But it will also drop 15-30 cms of snow across the US-Canada border regions.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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At this point, next weekend and much of the folllowing week are looking very warm and settled. Highs could exceed 19-20 C in some parts
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Patrick (IWO)
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Looking good for this coming friday:

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Warm southerly easterly winds.

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Yes. Looking great until the middle of the month at least. Just need to get these next few days out of the way first
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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TODAY … Mild and humid with morning showers moving eastwards before clearing around midday. Some dry intervals by midday and early afternoon with hazy sunshine developing in some parts. Winds generally SSW 20-40 mph but 30-55 mph in Sligo, Mayo, Leitrim, Roscommon and west Donegal. Highs 13-15 C mildest in inland parts of Wicklow, Wexford, Carlow and Kilkenny.

TONIGHT … Foggy with some isolated showers in Ulster before rain spreads across the country from the west, where it will be most persistent. Winds SW 20-40 mph. Mild with lows 8-11 C.

TUESDAY … Light rain in most places to start the day but a clearance developing in all but coastal counties of Connacht and Ulster. However, these places should also become dry by mid afternoon. Warm tomorrow with highs near 17 C. Winds SW 20-40 mph.

WEDNESDAY … Sunny with cloudy interval, just a slight risk of a shower mostly late in day in west and northwest. Overnight lows near 8 C and highs 17-20 C, highest in inland southeast. SW winds veering westerly, 15-30 mph.

THURSDAY … Variable cloud with patches of mist or drizzle, particularly near the coast. Feeling slightly cooler especially in the west and north. Overnight lows near 6 C and daytime highs near 14 C in the north to 18 C in the south. Winds westerly backing to southerly, not too strong.

FRIDAY … Morning fog giving way to warm sunshine, lows 3-7 C and highs 15 to 20 C. Light winds.

WEEKEND … Dry and warm with highs 17-20 C, some sunshine each day. Winds light to moderate southerly.

OUTLOOK … At this point much of the following week is also looking very warm and settled. Highs could exceed 20 C in some parts of the southeast and generally 16-17 C. There is really no strong signal for an end to this warm spell and changes in the pattern while slight may in any case prove to be overdone at this early stage.

The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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An atlantic storm to finish off our dry, warm spell?

Will keep an eye on it.
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TODAY ... Mild and humid (feeling quite muggy) with some brighter intervals developing in the southeast but some persistent light rain or drizzle in parts of Connacht and west Ulster. Winds steady SW 15-30 mph, except 20-40 in coastal parts of Mayo, Sligo and Donegal. Highs 13-15 C in the north and west to 16-18 C in the south and east.

TONIGHT ... Mild with patches of fog. Some persistent drizzle in the northwest but otherwise dry. Lows 7-10 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals developing though still rather cloudy in the northwest with some fog and drizzle near coasts. Moderate SW breezes. Highs 14-16 C north/west and 18-20 C south/east.

THURSDAY ... After a relatively clear and cooler night with lows 3-6 C, the day will be dry with some sun but cloudy intervals also, most frequent in the northwest. Highs near 14 C north to 17 C south.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and warm. A rather cool night with lows 2-5 C but warming up very quickly to reach 18-21 C by midday, in most areas away from outer coasts where temperatures will be 14-16 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy and continuing rather warm. Some showers in the north. Lows near 6 C and highs near 17 C (19-20 C inland southeast).

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud with some warm sunny intervals. Lows near 6 C and highs 17-20 C.

OUTLOOK ... A warm, dry period in general with a few showers confined to the north. This spell of fine weather will continue well into next week.
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TODAY ... Very mild or warm with some hazy sunshine, except near the outer coasts where some low cloud, fog and drizzle is likely. Rain will linger near the north coast for a while this morning before returning later this afternoon. Highs inland 17-20 C but closer to 14-16 C near some coasts.

TONIGHT ... Patchy light rain spreading across the northern half of the country. It will be partly cloudy elsewhere. Temperatures falling off to 5-8 C in the north after midnight, but staying around 7-10 C further south.

THURSDAY ... Cloud dissipating around sunrise except for some lingering low cloud near northwest coasts. Sunshine and still rather warm, although a bit fresher than today. Daytime highs 15-18 C.

THURSDAY NIGHT ... Widespread clear skies may lead to some morning fog, a bit cooler with lows 2-6 C. Patchy frost possible in one or two inland valley locations.

FRIDAY ... Partly to mostly sunny and warm. Fog patches lingering near coasts. Light winds, highs 17-20 C.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud. Warm with some showers developing. Overnight lows 3-7 C and daytime highs 15-19 C.

SUNDAY ... Cloudy at times, some chance of rain in the west and north mainly. Warm, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C. There will be a succession of weak fronts and ridges in a west-southwest flow.

OUTLOOK ... Next week will continue fairly warm although perhaps closer to normal values, with occasional showery intervals. The average high will probably be around 15-17 C. There are no real signs of a strong cooling trend further ahead, with indications of another very warm period after mid-month as winds return to a southeast direction.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Everything has calmed down after very widespread severe storms on Tuesday. Wednesday was cloudy and rather cool in the east, and will clear to more temperate conditions today. Central plains states have warmed back to 20-25 C and continue to warm further today. Thunderstorm activity is still two or three days away as this air mass so far is very dry. Cool and moist near the west coast and into the Rockies with widespread mountain snows.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Jambo IWO
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low cloud is going to be very slow to clear in some parts today(Thursday) i would say tomorrow will be a better day,sunny weather going to break down quicker than expected but should return later in the(next)week.
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Jambo IWO
April 7 2011, 10:45 AM
low cloud is going to be very slow to clear in some parts today(Thursday) i would say tomorrow will be a better day,sunny weather going to break down quicker than expected but should return later in the(next)week.
FRIDAY ... Another very warm day ahead with widespread sunshine. Local cooling near south and east coasts in particular as a weak southeast flow 5-10 mph develops. Highs for most will reach 17-20 C and coastal strip/headlands about 12-15 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny. Very warm, lows 4-7 C and highs 18-21 C, although temperatures will be closer to 12-15 C near the south coast and 15-17 C along the east coast.

SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud. Some showers developing. Still quite warm with night time lows dropping no lower than 7 C and daytime highs reaching 18 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Somewhat unsettled. A bit cooler, lows near 4 C and highs near 15 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat warmer again in the 16-18 C range during the second half of the week. The following weekend may see a brief cooler and windy interlude before yet another warm spell sets in.
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The highest temperature of the year set to be recorded Friday 08 April
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TODAY ... Sunny and warm with light winds for most places. Low cloud and fog slow to clear in parts of the west and southwest. Highs 17-20 C. Some fog and low cloud drifting a few miles inland in southern and eastern coastal locations. Considerably cooler there with highs 12 to 15 C.

TONIGHT ... Clear with some fog developing (or thickening where present near coasts). Rather chilly again inland. Lows 3-7 C, staying near 10 C in coastal fog.

SATURDAY ... Warm with sunny intervals. Highs 15-19 C, but somewhat cooler near south and east coasts again where they will be patches of fog. A risk of showers in Kerry, west Cork, west Clare and Limerick later in the day.

SUNDAY ... After a fairly mild night with lows of between 5 and 8 C, the day will become fresher and partly cloudy with isolated showers developing mainly in Connacht and west Ulster. Highs 13-16 C. Winds increasing gradually to westerly 20-35 mph. Evening showers in many areas.

MONDAY ... Variable skies and feeling rather fresh and cool. Overnight lows near 4 C and daytime highs near 12 C.

TUESDAY ... Morning frost giving way to a bright day with sunny spells. Lows in the range of -2 to +3 C and highs 11-14 C.

OUTLOOK ... A windy, showery period is likely to follow with near normal temperatures. There are indications of cooler, possibly somewhat wintry, weather for a day or two around the following weekend (16th-17th) and possibly this colder interval will last a few more days -- however, we've seen cold spells advertised at this time range before, that never materialized, so consider this very preliminary.
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Friday temps 17-20c could be replaced by daytime temps 6-9c by this time next week. We will keep you posted http://twitpic.com/4i9dda
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TUESDAY … Some risk of morning frost, although northwest may stay cloudy with light rain at times overnight, then variable cloud, rather cool, more organized areas of rain arriving by late in the day as winds back to southerly and strengthen. Lows -2 to +4 C and highs 10-13 C.

WEDNESDAY … Rain at times, windy, rather mild, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.

THURSDAY … Variable cloud, showers, windy at times, lows near 5 C and highs near 13 C.

FRIDAY … Windy and possibly stormy in some western and northern counties, frequent showers although some sunny intervals. Winds W 30-50 mph with higher gusts possible … lows near 5 C and highs near 12 C. Hail and thunder likely at times.

OUTLOOK … It may improve somewhat for the following weekend, then models are suggesting a really cold interval that could last a day to three days before a gradual warming trend. By then it will be approaching Easter weekend, and the very early call there would be mild southeast winds and partly cloudy to overcast.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Why are we so bad at long range weather forecasting?
By WUWT regular “justthefacts”

In researching the use of tidal forces in long range weather forecasting, I came across an interesting August 30th, 2010 Associated Press/ MSNBC article
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38906421/ns/weather/
based on interviews with Farmer’s Almanac Editors Sandi Duncan and Peter Geiger, and Ed O’Lenic from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center:

“Good news, winter haters: After record snowfall in the mid-Atlantic and unusually cold weather down South, the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a “kinder and gentler” winter. see more
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/09/why-are-we-so-bad-at-long-range-weather-forecasting/
Science does not deal in absolute proofs. The scientific method depends upon falsification of alternative hypotheses until only one remains.
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WEDNESDAY ... Morning showers or periods of rain, 5-10 mms expected on average. Foggy at times also, before a gradual improvement with some brighter intervals developing. Overnight lows 5-8 C and daytime highs 11-13 C.

THURSDAY ... After a rather cool night with morning lows near 3 C, the day will become breezy, with increasing cloud. Rather windy in the northwest by midday, with these windy conditions spreading late in the day to most other regions. SSW winds peaking 35-55 mph, bringing on some squally showers with hail and thunder late Thursday into Friday early morning. Highs about 10-12 C.

FRIDAY ... Breezy with strong winds during the early morning subsiding gradually, early gusts to near 55 mph, showery but brighter by mid-day and afternoon, lows near 4 C and highs near 11 C. Winds SW-W 20-40 mph after the stronger winds move through.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY ... Next weekend is looking unsettled, and rather cool, with blustery west winds and squally showers at times. Temperatures mostly in the 5-8 C range. Some hail at low elevations, with sleet or snow possible in this pattern on the higher summits of the north especially. It may also be thundery at times.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The week beyond looks rather cool but not exceptionally cold with the flow remaining northerly for a while then becoming more variable.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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radiospu
April 10 2011, 12:37 AM
“Good news, winter haters: After record snowfall in the mid-Atlantic and unusually cold weather down South, the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a “kinder and gentler” winter. see more
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/09/why-are-we-so-bad-at-long-range-weather-forecasting/
That's called wishcasting.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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UKMO weekly outlook

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TUESDAY ... Sunny intervals and dry for most. However, cloudier conditions across Ulster where there may be some light rain at times. Highs 10-13 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Foggy to start with periods of rain developing during the day. Potential rainfall accumulations of 10-20 mms. Clearing slowly from western counties late in the day. Moderate S to SW winds. Lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy but overall dry. Winds slackening. Lows near 3 C and highs near 13 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud with a few showers possible in northern counties. Some areas staying dry in moderate S to SW winds. Lows near +1 to +4 C, and highs 12-15 C.

OUTLOOK ... The weekend is looking somewhat unsettled but you may have noticed that the forecasts keep backing off on the actual arrival of cool, windy weather ... now this is expected to hold off to Monday 18th. The weekend looks to be rather cloudy with scattered showers around, and near normal temperatures.
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SUMMARY: The coming week will be relatively dry for April with the exception being Tuesday night through Wednesday morning when heavy rain sweeps across the country. There will also be showers at times, these heaviest and most frequent across the west and north. Temperatures will be around average for the time of year, 11-14c, but will climb gradually during the weekend. Winds will be moderate for much of the time. Drier and more settled weather for the weekend and continuing into early next week.

TODAY ... Dry with sunny spells for most today. More cloud than sun in the north however, with some passing showers this morning. Improving here in the afternoon. Highs 11-14 C. Moderate SW breezes backing to SSE 10-20 mph by late in the day.

TONIGHT ... Increasing cloud with temperatures holding steady near 5 C at first then rising towards morning. Foggy in most places by 0300h. Rain setting in and becoming rather heavy at times by morning (10-15 mms possible) Winds S veering to SW 15-30 mph.

WEDNESDAY ... Morning showers gradually clearing from the east coast before further showers push extend into northwest and southwest counties. Winds westerly by the afternoon at 20-30 mph. Highs 11-14 C.

THURSDAY ... A slight frost in some sheltered inland locations giving way to sunny intervals. Well scattered showers in the afternoon. Overnight lows near 2 C and daytime highs near 13 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud with occasional light showers, particularly later in the day in the northwest and across Ulster. Moderate SW breezes at times. Lows near 2 C and highs near 14.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... The models were flirting with a return to winter a few days ago, now that scenario has more or less disappeared from all models. Both days are now looking partly cloudy to sunny with at least near-average highs of 14-16 C.

OUTLOOK …. The weather will remain similar to what we will experience over the coming days. It will become a little warmer.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The stormy weather reached the east coast by Monday evening and now it is raining and about 15 C. This will last about another day as the fronts have stalled out. Another warm spell is developing over the central plains states. Colder air has sagged into parts of western Canada from the subarctic but it is not too cold, around 2 deg C.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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UKMO MONTHLY OUTLOOK

Summary
Temperatures fall but some dry weather to come

March was notable for its lack of rain in many parts of the British Isles, and for some that trend has continued. To that trend we can now add a bit of spring warmth. Although the April record (29.4C at Camden Sq in London 1949) has yet to be threatened, temperatures have reached 22-23C quite widely across Britain.

Almost anything goes in April. High temperatures, heavy downpours and snow at Easter are all possible and only serve to indicate that the strength of the sun is increasing with the advent of spring. It's this atmospheric change that also boosts the development of showers through April and May. change is the watchword of the season so don't be caught out. Let's hope we're not!

Monday 11 April 2011 to Sunday 17 April 2011
Heat is tempered by cloudier and cooler weather

Only southeast Britain will enjoy the last of the recent warm weather as a cold front brings, cloud, rain and a drop in temperatures to all parts early in the period. Temperatures will fall by several degrees, especially in those inland areas that have topped 20C in recent days.

Tuesday will be a bright, fresh day with showers for Scotland and Northern Ireland in particular. Wednesday will be marked by the first significant rain in many areas as an area of low pressure swings its fronts southeastwards. The rain won't reach the far southeast until late afternoon.

Thursday and Friday will be cloudy affairs with the odd patch of rain as weak fronts follow on Wednesday's weather systems. At this point the weekend looks set to start on a promising note.

Monday 18 April 2011 to Sunday 24 April 2011
Seasonably unsettled through the week

The week will be marked by a good deal of variation in weather types across the British Isles. As one might expect at this time of year, there will be spells of unsettled weather, especially across the north and west of the British Isles, where occasional periods of heavy rain or showers will be accompanied by strong winds.

Further to the south and east, it will be often cloudy with the odd spell of rain but some decent dry interludes. These will tend to keep temperatures at or above the average, typically 11-14C across England and Wales, whilst Scotland and Northern Ireland will struggle to reach their marks (9-12C). The weekend may be marked by unsettled weather in the northwest of Scotland.

Monday 25 April 2011 to Sunday 8 May 2011
Dry trend set to continue in southern Britain

The period looks as though it will continue with a north-west - south-east split across the British Isles, with much of Scotland and Northern Ireland seeing rather unsettled weather. Temperatures will be below average for mid-spring whilst rainfall amounts wil be close to par.

England and Wales should have a lot of fine and dry weather with prolonged spells of sunshine. There will be showery spells of weather, even in the south, but, overall, many places will be drier than average for the time of year. Temperatures will be close to or even above the mid-spring average.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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SUMMARY: The weather will settled down for the coming week after today’s rain and drizzle eases. There will be some showers around at times in the west and north on Thursday and Friday but the weekend and beginning of next week look to be much more settled. Temperatures will also rise. There will be some increase in cloud later as the flow backs around to a southeasterly. In general though Ireland can expect temperatures to average 1-2 deg above normal and to keep this month on pace to set a possible record or at least come very close.

TODAY … Cloudy to start with further rain or showers, and some drizzle. Total rainfalls including what has already fallen overnight, 15-25 mms. Eventually some brighter intervals will occur with some sunny breaks by afternoon as winds veer from SSW to WSW 20-35 mph. Highs will reach 12 to 14 C.

TONIGHT … Foggy with drizzle in places. Lows 4-7 C.

THURSDAY … Cloudy with sunny intervals. Mostly dry but some brief showers possible especially in West Munster ,Connacht and west Ulster. Highs in the range of 13-15 C.

FRIDAY … Following some patchy ground frost and overnight lows of 2-5 C there will be sunny intervals, particularly in the south. Low cloud and drizzle or showers for part of the day in the north. Moderate SW winds at times. Highest temperatures 12-14 C.

SATURDAY … Sunny with cloudy intervals. Mild to warm, Lows 2-5 C and highs 14-16 C.

SUNDAY … Sunny. Mild to warm. Lows 2-5 C and highs 15-17 C.

OUTLOOK … Sunny and pleasantly warm at the beginning of the week. There will be some increase in cloud later as the flow backs around to a southeasterly. In general though Ireland can expect temperatures to average 1-2 deg above normal and to keep this month on pace to set a possible record or at least come very close.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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SUMMARY: We are now entering a settled period of weather with the exception of some drizzle this morning and light rain for a while in north Connacht tomorrow. The overall picture for the coming seven days is for often sunny and mild to warm conditions. Gardeners should note that night-time temperatures will dip to as low as 2C leading to a slight ground frost in some inland sheltered locations over the next few nights. Mean temperatures so far this April are running over 4.0c above average and on par with the record breaking warmth in April 2007. In general though Ireland can expect temperatures to average 1-2 deg above normal and to keep this month on pace to set a possible record or at least come very close.

TODAY … Widespread low cloud or hill fog with patchy drizzle this morning should gradually lift to give long sunny intervals in most places by early afternoon and for the remainder of the day. Highs 13-15C. Light to moderate westerly winds backing to southerly by evening.

TONIGHT … Some clear interval and rather chilly with ground frost in some central inland counties. Lows 2-5 C. Drizzle arriving in Connacht well after midnight.

FRIDAY … Cloudy across the west and north with patchy light rain (1-3 mms at most). More sunshine likely in the south and east, where there will be isolated showers by afternoon. Daytime highs 14-16 C.

SATURDAY … After a clear night and lows of 2-5 C, Saturday will be sunny or at least partly cloudy day with light winds and highs of about 14-15 C.

SUNDAY … After another cold, clear night with lows 2-5 C, Sunday will be a warm and sunny day with light southeast winds and highs 15-18 C. Some coastal fog may begin to develop near south coast outer headlands.

MONDAY … Sunny and remaining mild to warm. Overnight lows 3-6 C and highs 16-19 C.

OUTLOOK … Not much change from day to day, dry and reasonably warm, although a slight change in air mass midweek may reboot the warming trend from a new base of about 15 C. If any cloud or rain enter the picture, it will be near northwest coast or outer south coast depending on wind direction. The Easter weekend outlook remains positive, in a fairly settled and warm southeast flow. Confidence is moderate on the long range at present.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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SUMMARY: The coming week will be largely dry and settled. Showers and overcast conditions will affect parts of the west and north at times but overall there will be plenty of sunny spells. Temperatures will rise gradually over the weekend and Monday. Partly cloudy and rather cool mid-week next week. More sunshine and warmer weather towards the Easter weekend, at which time there will possibly be some isolated showers. The month is still on track to challenge a record for April warmth.

TODAY ... Cloudy with some sunny intervals, these more frequent in the south and east. Patchy light rain showers may come and go in western and later northern counties. Amounts No more than 3 mms. Highs 13-15 C, milder in the south and east. Moderate southwest winds at times.

TONIGHT ... Cloud gradually breaking to partly clear conditions. A touch of ground frost possible in central counties, lows 2-5 C.

SATURDAY ... Cloudy intervals in the morning. Low cloud may persist near some western and northern coastlines, but more sunshine by midday and the afternoon as light northwest winds fall off to near calm. Highs 13-15 C.

SUNDAY ... After a largely clear night with patchy light frost inland, expect a sunny day with warmer highs away from the south and east coasts, lows in the range of 1-4 C and highs 14-17 C.

MONDAY ... Hazy sunshine and warm. Overnight lows 2-5 C and daytime highs 15-19 C.

TUESDAY ... Brief showers in Ulster where it will remain cloudy for much of the day. Sunny weather continuing further south, a bit cooler however with highs near 14 to 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Partly cloudy and rather cool mid-week. Highs 13-15 C but a trend back to more sunshine and warmer weather towards the Easter weekend, at which time there will possibly be some isolated showers. It will remain mostly warm and dry however, with highs reaching around 18-20 C. The month is still on track to challenge a record for April warmth.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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Looking fairly good up to easter weekend at least. some showers in sw at times towards end of next week

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SUMMARY: While this should be a warm, dry and pleasant week for most, east to southeast winds will lead to variable local conditions near the east and south coasts. Here fog, drizzle and low cloud will occasionally move a few miles inland.

GOOD FRIDAY … Cloudy with sunny intervals. Rather breezy with drizzle near east facing coasts at times. Lows near 7 C and highs 14-18 C (coolest in the east).

OUTLOOK FOR EASTER WEEKEND … More sunshine returning although an isolated shower or thundershower possible. Warm and not as breezy as southeast winds slacken. Lows near 7 C and highs 17-21 C. East winds picking up again on Bank Holiday Monday.

FURTHER OUTLOOK …The rest of the week may cool off slightly especially in the eastern half of the country. Only patchy drizzle at most, and highs still likely to reach 18-20 C in western counties, 13-16 C east.
The coldest winter you will ever experience is a summer in West Clare.
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