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“EXTREMELY dangerous earthquake near Rishtan and Avval”
Topic Started: July 19 2011, 10:14 PM (233 Views)
Audi-Tek
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Prince
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“EXTREMELY dangerous earthquake near Rishtan and Avval”

Magnitude 6.2
Date-Time

Tuesday, July 19, 2011 at 19:35:42 UTC
Wednesday, July 20, 2011 at 01:35:42 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 40.130°N, 71.435°E
Depth 9.2 km (5.7 miles)
Region KYRGYZSTAN
Distances 42 km (26 miles) SW of Farghona (Fergana), Uzbekistan
60 km (37 miles) SE of Quqon (Kokand), Uzbekistan
98 km (60 miles) SSW of Namangan, Uzbekistan
404 km (251 miles) SW of BISHKEK (Frunze), Kyrgyzstan

“Satellite map of the greater epicenter area”

Link ....... http://maps.google.com/maps?q=40.1302+71.4353%28M6.2+-+KYRGYZSTAN+-+2011+July+19++19:35:42+UTC%29&hl=e&t=h&z=8
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Audi-Tek
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Prince
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Latest up dates.

“UPDATE : All seismological institutes are reporting a Magnitude of 6.2, but the shallow depth of only 10 km is the main concern.
“UPDATE 20:06 : As the earthquake occurred at 01:35 , we are almost sure that electricity will be off and it will take a couple of hours before SAR (Search and Rescue forces) will be detached on the scene.”
“UPDATE 20:09 : There is fear for at least some serious damage iff the preliminary location of the epicenter would be confirmed.”
“UPDATE 20:11 : The greater epicenter area is very populated.”
“UPDATE 20:14 : Strong shaking expected in the following cities : Oltiariq 26,000 people, Khaydarkan 12,000 people”
“UPDATE 20:19 : WAPMERR a theoretical damage calculation engine has just reported some cruel numbers (which we truly hope will not become true) : ESTIMATE OF HUMAN LOSSES : Injured Exp. min/max: 1000/15000 ; Fatalities Exp. min/max: 500/8000”
“UPDATE 20:25 : The earthquake has occurred in the border area of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan”
“UPDATE 20:30 : On top of the VI MMI values for Oltiariq and Khaydarkan, we have to report the cruel MMI values for the smaller villages. 27 will experience a IX violent shaking 2,000 people a severe VIII shaking 65,000 a VII very strong shaking 1,055,000 a VI strong shaking 7,172,000 a Moderate V MMI shaking”
“UPDATE 20:36 : It is truly hoped that the epicenter of USGS will be the final one, as it is below a mountain of 2,000 meters high. The valley with a lot of villages are at a height of 500 meter.”





Edited by Audi-Tek, July 19 2011, 10:54 PM.
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Audi-Tek
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UPDATE 22:24 : Depending on the source and the places where the reports come from, the shaking lasted for 30 seconds to a minute, a very bad sign for the epicenter area.

UPDATE 22:52 : Local seismological reports are talking about a V MMI in Tashkent (+200 km from the epicenter).

UPDATE 22:54 : Still NO news from the dangerous circle around the epicenter. The outcome of this earthquake will be the exact location of the epicenter. Closer to the valley damage will be considerable. More into the mountains there will be less shaking damage but the chance on big landslides is very much present.

UPDATE 22:57 : Favorable evolution in the outcome (although no news so far). USGS has recalculated the earthquake data and is reporting a 6.1 magnitude (originally 6.2) at a depth of 17.8 km (earlier 9.8 km). Both revisions will weaken the impact considerably, but the danger is still very much present (also at these lower numbers).

UPDATE 23:07 : 1 hour and 10 minutes after the mainshock, a 4.4 magnitude aftershock shook the epicenter area again.

at 01:35 AM. Theoretical damage calculations are reporting limited to severe number of victims. Let’s hope for the best. The epicenter is located near the Kyrgyzstan / Uzbekistan border.
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Audi-Tek
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Earthquake in Kyrgyzstan / Uzbekistan : 14 people killed, 86 injured and at least 800 houses damaged + video of the shaking in Tashkent

Video link .... http://youtu.be/S4rwMFoknEA

MPORTANT UPDATE 11:58 UTC : The impact of the earthquake is becoming more apparent and unfortunately gradually more damaging.
Among others Gazeta.UZ reports that at least 14 people were killed (13 in Uzbekistan and 1 person who jumped tragically out of his window at the second floor in Tadjikistan) and 90 injured (86 in Uzbekistan and 4 in Kyrgyzstan) (among them 35 people are hospitalized) in the Uzbek Fergana valley. Most of the people hospitalized are coming out of the mountains. More details are still missing. It is thought that the earlier reported victim in Tadjikistan is not counted in this number.
Additionzally, at least 800 houses are damaged and a number of them are inhabitable (red stickers). The area surveyed so far is the Kadamzhai area.

Posted Image
Greater epicenter area - Kyrgyzstan July 20 2011 earthquake - panoramio picture by Sergey Ilyukhin - http://www.panoramio.com/photo/961965
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